Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Monday 28th September 2015

Each way betting – a background How do I go about my each-way selection process? In this post you will see a list of races which all have one thing in common. They are all 8/9 runner races as this is the shortest field which pays out for horses finishing 1st, 2nd and 3rd . By selecting an 8/9 runner race, you immediately put the probabilities of selecting a horse to finish in the top 3, in your favour. Remember that your objective is to find a horse to finish in the top 3, with a winner being an obvious bonus. 1) we select only from 8/9 runner races 2) we make 2 selections. The first is called the Usual selection .

A usual selection is a horse who is near the head of the betting forecast and who looks like an obvious selection to finish in the first 3 at least. We then make a speculative selection. This horse is likely to be a bigger price and is selected because horse racing is inherently unpredictable and races are won by other -than the market leaders We want to be able to cover a bigger priced horse who might surprise.

On the 3rd May 2014, I selected just such a horse, Run with Pride, and he won at Betfair SP odds of 142, and paid 12 to place. 3) which brings me to my 3rd point. Use Betfair Sp for your win and place only bets . Why? Well Run with Pride won at odds of 142 using Betfair SP, and returned at only 33/1 with the bookmakers.

This is the background behind the selections you will find here. Make sure you check the place onlyterms at www.betfair.com. Some races may only pay out on 2 places. We want to see 3 places as it increases our probabilities of getting a return.

Yesterday

 

515 muss Betting forecast: 2/1 Irish Girls Spirit, 11/4 Gaelic Wizard, 5/1 Little Belter, 7/1 Busy Bimbo, 9/1 Saxonette, 12/1 Jumbo Steps, 12/1 Ya Boy Sir, 20/1 Youcouldntmakeitup, 33/1 Berbice.
usual Gaelic Wizard  – 2nd 2.86 win and 1.41 place
speculative Saxonette – 1st 9.42 win and 2.3 place
545 muss Betting forecast: 7/4 Noodles Blue Boy, 9/2 Supersta, 11/2 It´s Time For Bed, 13/2 Calypso Music, 10/1 Eland Ally, 12/1 Lady Poppy, 14/1 Red Forever, 16/1 Findog, 16/1 Tadalavil.
usual It’s time for bed – 6th 17
speculative Eland Ally – 4th 16.09

Today

340 bath Betting forecast: 9/4 Calvinist, 7/2 Press Gang, 7/2 Southfields, 4/1 Space Mountain, 8/1 Glance My Way, 25/1 Baz´s Boy, 25/1 Charlie Parker, 50/1 Yeabut Nobut.
usual Southfields
speculative Glance my way
220 hamilton Betting forecast: 5/4 Extortion, 3/1 Dance Alone, 5/1 Siege Of Boston, 8/1 Piccardo, 8/1 Ticking Away, 25/1 Fumbo Jumbo, 33/1 Dutch Dream, 100/1 Sneakin´pete.
usual Siege of Boston
speculative Piccardo
300 na Betting forecast: 9/4 Chantara Rose, 11/4 Sykes, 11/2 Archie Rice, 7/1 Jigsaw Financial, 8/1 Taylor, 10/1 Bassarabad, 14/1 Jack By The Hedge, 33/1 Academy General, 33/1 Diddypurptoon.
usual Archie Rice
speculative Bassarabad