Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Saturday 28th November 2015

Each way betting – a background How do I go about my each-way selection process? In this post you will see a list of races which all have one thing in common. They are all 8/9 runner races as this is the shortest field which pays out for horses finishing 1st, 2nd and 3rd . By selecting an 8/9 runner race, you immediately put the probabilities of selecting a horse to finish in the top 3, in your favour. Remember that your objective is to find a horse to finish in the top 3, with a winner being an obvious bonus. 1) we select only from 8/9 runner races 2) we make 2 selections. The first is called the Usual selection .

A usual selection is a horse who is near the head of the betting forecast and who looks like an obvious selection to finish in the first 3 at least. We then make a speculative selection. This horse is likely to be a bigger price and is selected because horse racing is inherently unpredictable and races are won by other -than the market leaders We want to be able to cover a bigger priced horse who might surprise.

On the 3rd May 2014, I selected just such a horse, Run with Pride, and he won at Betfair SP odds of 142, and paid 12 to place. 3) which brings me to my 3rd point. Use Betfair Sp for your win and place only bets . Why? Well Run with Pride won at odds of 142 using Betfair SP, and returned at only 33/1 with the bookmakers.

This is the background behind the selections you will find here. Make sure you check the place onlyterms at www.betfair.com. Some races may only pay out on 2 places. We want to see 3 places as it increases our probabilities of getting a return.

Yesterday

 

155 doncaster Betting forecast: 9/4 Baltic Storm, 5/2 Iniciar, 4/1 Holly Bush Henry, 5/1 Innocent Touch, 8/1 Mr Kit Cat, 16/1 Spifer, 25/1 Deadly Approach, 25/1 King Simba, 50/1 Zakety Zak.
usual Iniciar  – 7th  7.33
speculative Mr Kit Cat – 8th 3.9
230 doncaster Betting forecast: 11/10 Charbel, 5/2 Emperor Commodos, 9/2 Boston De La Roche, 12/1 Go Long, 14/1 Cactus Valley, 14/1 Sarpech, 20/1 Muthabir, 50/1 Little Big Town, 50/1 That Be Grand.
usual Emperor Commodos  – 3rd 9 win and 1.82 place
speculative Go Long – 1st 9.74 win and 1.88 place
1225 newbury Betting forecast: 9/4 Copain De Classe, 3/1 Ardamir, 4/1 Darebin, 5/1 Kasakh Noir, 10/1 Major Mac, 12/1 Extreme Appeal, 16/1 The Coffee Hunter, 25/1 Fitzwilliam, 50/1 Kingston Mimosa.
usual Darebin – pu 6.2 
speculative Extreme Appeal – 6th 12.72
645 wolves Betting forecast: 7/4 Cold As Ice, 4/1 Lamar, 5/1 Alfajer, 5/1 Kyllachy Queen, 10/1 Maggie Pink, 10/1 Secret Hint, 16/1 Invoke, 20/1 Skinny Love, 66/1 Lucky Di.
usual Kyllachy Queen  – 2nd 15.12 win and 3.59 place
speculative Secret Hunt – 5th 28.51
715 wolves Betting forecast: 5/2 Wink Oliver, 3/1 Idol Deputy, 9/2 Shamlan, 11/2 Hercullian Prince, 10/1 Al´s Memory, 10/1 Hernando Torres, 16/1 Glasgow Central, 20/1 Street Force.
usual Idol Deputy  – 5th 5.88
speculative Al’s Memory – 6th 13.5

Today

250 fairyhouse Betting forecast: 2/1 De Name Escapes Me, 5/1 Ma Garrett, 5/1 Winter Lion, 11/2 New Kid In Town, 13/2 Definite Earl, 8/1 Runyon Rattler, 16/1 Golan Lodge, 25/1 Organisedconfusion.
usual New Kid in Town
speculative Runyon rattler
1230 newcastle Betting forecast: 2/1 Mumgos Debut, 4/1 Alfred Oats, 5/1 Trouble In Paris, 8/1 Caraline, 8/1 Odds On Dan, 8/1 Seventeen Black, 10/1 Afterclass, 16/1 Rupert Bear.
usual Trouble in Paris
speculative Seventeen Black
815 wolves Betting forecast: 13/8 Sparring, 13/8 The Steward, 11/2 Brandon Castle, 12/1 Luv U Whatever, 14/1 Gabrial The Hero, 20/1 Rotherwick, 20/1 Stosur, 33/1 Carthage.
usual Brandon Castle
speculative Gabrial the Hero