A quick reminder, we place back the bookmaker’s favourite and not the Betfair favourite. This is an important distinction as quite often these are 2 different horses. Background 2013 saw this place only betting idea of mine profit by about 45 points. That’s a decent return given the short odds which prevail in place only betting markets. Follow these steps below 1) the races listed here are chosen from www.racingpost.com because they feature ” apparent ” 2 horse races. This is in inverted commas because we are using the betting forecast which is simply just a journalist’s idea of how the race will fare. 2) we back in the to place only market at www.betfair.com , to Betfair SP, the bookmaker’s favourite in these races. I tried a number of different strategies such as following the betting forecast favourite, or 2nd favourite, and found over time that the bookmaker favourite placed 80+% of the time. 3) we back in the to place only market at odds of between 1.1 and 1.5 only. Anything under 1.1 is simply not worth it. A cut off point of 1.5 ensures the strike rate does not diminish as we move to higher place only odds.
A quick reminder, we place back the bookmaker’s favourite and not the Betfair favourite. This is an important distinction as quite often these are 2 different horses. Background 2013 saw this place only betting idea of mine profit by about 45 points. That’s a decent return given the short odds which prevail in place only betting markets. Follow these steps below 1) the races listed here are chosen from www.racingpost.com because they feature ” apparent ” 2 horse races. This is in inverted commas because we are using the betting forecast which is simply just a journalist’s idea of how the race will fare. 2) we back in the to place only market at www.betfair.com , to Betfair SP, the bookmaker’s favourite in these races. I tried a number of different strategies such as following the betting forecast favourite, or 2nd favourite, and found over time that the bookmaker favourite placed 80+% of the time. 3) we back in the to place only market at odds of between 1.1 and 1.5 only. Anything under 1.1 is simply not worth it. A cut off point of 1.5 ensures the strike rate does not diminish as we move to higher place only odds.
Yesterday
10 110 muss Betting forecast: 9/4 Cosmic Tigress, 9/4 Verona Opera, 11/2 Cadmium, 4th 1.26
Today
6 245 bangor Betting forecast: Evs Arctic Gold, 6/4 Goldboy, 13/2 Theatrical Style,
6 320 bangor Betting forecast: 11/10 Final Nudge, 11/8 Tippmanboy, 8/1 Feather Lane,
19 110 fairyhouse Betting forecast: 6/5 Pylonthepressure, 6/4 Tombstone, 12/1 Ice Cold Soul,
8 815 wolves Betting forecast: 13/8 Sparring, 13/8 The Steward, 11/2 Brandon Castle,
Can I just point out that, although Cosmic Tigress came first yesterday, in the 1:10 at Musselburgh ( 2 Horse Race Placers) it was NOT favourite at the time. It was favourite in the early morning, but not later. Damn thing caught me out! I put money on the one that became favourite…and it lost! 🙁
hi you have yesterday’s place selection shown as a winner but the fav was not even placed!