Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Friday 28th November 2014

Each way betting – a background How do I go about my each-way selection process? In this post you will see a list of races which all have one thing in common. They are all 8/9 runner races as this is the shortest field which pays out for horses finishing 1st, 2nd and 3rd . By selecting an 8/9 runner race, you immediately put the probabilities of selecting a horse to finish in the top 3, in your favour. Remember that your objective is to find a horse to finish in the top 3, with a winner being an obvious bonus. 1) we select only from 8/9 runner races 2) we make 2 selections. The first is called the Usual selection .

A usual selection is a horse who is near the head of the betting forecast and who looks like an obvious selection to finish in the first 3 at least. We then make a speculative selection. This horse is likely to be a bigger price and is selected because horse racing is inherently unpredictable and races are won by other -than the market leaders We want to be able to cover a bigger priced horse who might surprise.

On the 3rd May 2014, I selected just such a horse, Run with Pride, and he won at Betfair SP odds of 142, and paid 12 to place. 3) which brings me to my 3rd point. Use Betfair Sp for your win and place only bets . Why? Well Run with Pride won at odds of 142 using Betfair SP, and returned at only 33/1 with the bookmakers.

This is the background behind the selections you will find here. Make sure you check the place onlyterms at www.betfair.com. Some races may only pay out on 2 places. We want to see 3 places as it increases our probabilities of getting a return.

I left you with a couple of winners and a couple of placers , one at 20/1 on the 14th November.

Yesterday

525 kempton Betting forecast: 5/2 Engaging Smile, 100/30 Rastanora, 7/2 Light Of The World, 4/1 Lahayeb, 7/1 Imperial Link, 20/1 Brean Golf Birdie, 25/1 Fanny Again, 25/1 Hyphaema, 25/1 Titan Goddess.
usual Light of the World  – 5th 7.8
speculative Imperial Link – 8th 6.92

315 newbury Betting forecast: 2/1 L´ami Serge, 11/4 Le Mercurey, 4/1 Wicklow Brave, 9/2 Daneking, 14/1 Astre De La Cour, 16/1 Kilcooley, 16/1 Minellaforleisure, 25/1 Violet Dancer.
usual Daneking  – 6th 5.56
speculative Kilcooley – 2nd 8.23 win and 2.31 place

325 Taunton Betting forecast: 9/4 Ballyegan, 3/1 Kilcascan, 4/1 Roseneath, 13/2 Bob Will, 10/1 Bally Gunner, 14/1 Spencer Moon, 16/1 Shanann Star, 16/1 Wishes And Stars.
usual Bob Will  – 3rd 11 win and 2.76 place
speculative Spencer Moon – pu 11
400 Taunton Betting forecast: 13/8 Minister Of Mayhem, 9/2 Annaroe, 9/2 Sirrah Star, 6/1 Worldor, 13/2 Ordensritter, 14/1 Wolfe Mountain, 20/1 Pennies And Pounds, 20/1 Shot In The Dark, 33/1 Canarbino Girl.
usual Annaroe  – 7th 6
speculative Wolfe Mountain – 9th 17.03

230 uttoxeter Betting forecast: 4/5 Rouquine Sauvage, 7/1 Chestertern, 7/1 L Frank Baum, 10/1 Mortlestown, 10/1 Safari Journey, 12/1 Gurkha Brave, 16/1 Boomtown, 25/1 Hollins.
usual Chestertern  – 1st 2.61 win and 1.4 place
speculative Gurkha Brave – non runner

Today

810 dundalk Betting forecast: 6/4 Nedera, 4/1 Trade Marked, 9/2 Plough Boy, 10/1 Jackie Ellis, 10/1 Twistsandturns, 12/1 Flannery, 14/1 Gold Class, 20/1 Moss Nation, 20/1 Myamo.
usual Plough Boy
speculative Flannery

1225 newbury Betting forecast: 5/6 Karezak, 6/4 Old Guard, 5/1 Mick Jazz, 16/1 Bassarabad, 66/1 Highsalvia Cosmos, 200/1 Haleo, 200/1 Lucky Dottie, 200/1 Sheer Poetry.
usual Mick Jazz
speculative Bassarabad