Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Thursday 28th May 2015

Each way betting – a background How do I go about my each-way selection process? In this post you will see a list of races which all have one thing in common. They are all 8/9 runner races as this is the shortest field which pays out for horses finishing 1st, 2nd and 3rd . By selecting an 8/9 runner race, you immediately put the probabilities of selecting a horse to finish in the top 3, in your favour. Remember that your objective is to find a horse to finish in the top 3, with a winner being an obvious bonus. 1) we select only from 8/9 runner races 2) we make 2 selections. The first is called the Usual selection .

A usual selection is a horse who is near the head of the betting forecast and who looks like an obvious selection to finish in the first 3 at least. We then make a speculative selection. This horse is likely to be a bigger price and is selected because horse racing is inherently unpredictable and races are won by other -than the market leaders We want to be able to cover a bigger priced horse who might surprise.

On the 3rd May 2014, I selected just such a horse, Run with Pride, and he won at Betfair SP odds of 142, and paid 12 to place. 3) which brings me to my 3rd point. Use Betfair Sp for your win and place only bets . Why? Well Run with Pride won at odds of 142 using Betfair SP, and returned at only 33/1 with the bookmakers.

This is the background behind the selections you will find here. Make sure you check the place onlyterms at www.betfair.com. Some races may only pay out on 2 places. We want to see 3 places as it increases our probabilities of getting a return.

I left you with a couple of winners and a couple of placers , one at 20/1 on the 14th November.

I will leave out results today as time is short.

Yesterday

 

550 gowran Betting forecast: 4/7 Sir Isaac Newton, 9/2 Valac, 7/1 Black Wolf Run, 10/1 Mufrad, 12/1 Shamash, 16/1 Stop And Linger, 33/1 Vocal Alert, 50/1 For Goodness Sake, 100/1 Western Seaboard.
usual Black Wolf Run NONE
speculative Shamash 4th 15

525 hamilton Betting forecast: 9/4 Secret Lightning, 9/2 Moon Arc, 11/2 Diatomic, 11/2 Riverlynx, 7/1 Niqnaaqpaadiwaaq, 7/1 Yorkindred Spirit, 12/1 New Abbey Dancer, 20/1 Clever Love, 20/1 La Vien Zen.
usual Diatomic 3rd 7,58
speculative Yorkindred spiriit 4th 10.36

810 kempton Betting forecast: 2/1 Parole, 4/1 Fit The Bill, 9/2 Dannyday, 5/1 Aabir, 8/1 Rosy Blush, 12/1 Nona Blu, 12/1 Sonnolento, 33/1 The Nab.
usual Dannyday 3rd 2.63
speculative Nona Blu 6th 21

700 na Betting forecast: 5/4 Are They Your Own, 5/2 Tercel, 100/30 Dry Ol´party, 16/1 Mazovian, 16/1 Sheer Poetry, 20/1 Innox Park, 25/1 Bogoss Du Perret, 33/1 Dance With Me, 33/1 Virgile De Gene.
usual Dry Ol’ Party 2nd 2.76
speculative Mazovian non runner

800 na Betting forecast: 2/1 Midnight Sequel, 7/2 Ann´s Lottery, 4/1 Kentford Myth, 6/1 Midnight Sapphire, 13/2 Milan Of Crystal, 14/1 Businessmoney Judi, 16/1 Pattara, 25/1 Princess Annabelle, 50/1 Newnham Flyer.
usual Kentford Myth 2nd 7 1/2 length
speculative Milan of Crystal 5th 4.1

405 thirsk Betting forecast: 3/1 Finn Class, 3/1 Reposer, 4/1 Lucky Lodge, 6/1 Rex Imperator, 7/1 Dubai Hills, 8/1 My Single Malt, 16/1 Favourite Treat, 25/1 Steel Train.
usual Rex Imperator 3rd 8.2
speculative My Single Malt 4th 6.8

A horse placing in nearly every race is encouraging. 4th placers are so frustrating. So close to a place.

Today

550 FAIRYHOUSE Betting forecast: 6/4 Mint Chai, 11/4 Escondida, 5/1 Miss Phillyjinks, 6/1 Rathbride Raven, 10/1 Miss Elizabeth, 12/1 Aldo Raine, 25/1 Coillte Mach, 33/1 Secret Wizard, 33/1 You Gotta Move.
usual Miss Phillyjinks
speculative Aldo Raine
310 worcester Betting forecast: 2/1 Last Summer, 9/4 New Providence, 13/2 Princess Roania, 15/2 Bendomingo, 9/1 Marquis Of Carabas, 12/1 Officer Hoolihan, 14/1 St Quintin, 33/1 Gold Thief, 66/1 Asian Ali.
usual Princess Roania
speculative Officer Hoolihan
340 worcester Betting forecast: 5/4 Vabinsaru, 5/1 Blackdown Hills, 5/1 Deshan, 6/1 Rollo´s Reflection, 7/1 Battle Master, 14/1 Meyrem Ana, 16/1 Thyne River, 25/1 Defiant Dazzler, 66/1 My Diamond.
usual Rollo’s Reflection
speculative Meyrem Ana