A quick reminder, we place back the bookmaker’s favourite and not the Betfair favourite. This is an important distinction as quite often these are 2 different horses.

Background

2013 saw this place only betting idea of mine profit by about 45 points. That’s a decent return given the short odds which prevail in place only betting markets.

Follow these steps below

1) the races listed here are chosen from www.racingpost.com because they feature ” apparent ” 2 horse races. This is in inverted commas because we are using the betting forecast which is simply just a journalist’s idea of how the race will fare.

2) we back in the to place only market at www.betfair.com , to Betfair SP, the bookmaker’s favourite in these races. I tried a number of different strategies such as following the betting forecast favourite, or 2nd favourite, and found over time that the bookmaker favourite placed 80+% of the time.

3) we back in the to place only market at odds of between 1.1 and 1.5 only. Anything under 1.1 is simply not worth it. A cut off point of 1.5 ensures the strike rate does not diminish as we move to higher place only odds.

 Yesterday

7 350 cartmel Betting forecast: 11/10 Alternatif, 11/4 River Maigue, 7/1 Silk Hall, 2nd
5 620 gowran Betting forecast: 5/4 Shahzeena, 15/8 Roca Rojo, 4/1 Urbestchance, 1st
5 600 na Betting forecast: 8/11 Towering, 7/4 More Buck´s, 6/1 Pauls Conn, 2nd
8 200 thirsk Betting forecast: 11/8 Signoret, 2/1 Rock Follies, 7/1 Farrah´s Choice, 1st 1.1
8 300 thirsk Betting forecast: 7/4 Bapak Asmara, 9/4 Thesme, 6/1 Spend A Penny 1st 1.72

There are no place only prices at Betfair Timeform result’s website today.All horses did place so I am happy with that. We should now be making hay during the flat season

 Today

4 905 fairyhouse Betting forecast: 13/8 Sandro Botticelli, 7/4 Postulation, 5/1 Buenos Y Bobos,
3 610 wetherby Betting forecast: 8/13 Rathlin Rose, 13/8 Rally, 16/1 Miss Tilly Oscar.
5 645 wetherby Betting forecast: 8/13 Ballykan, 6/4 Black Jack Rover, 33/1 Colonial Style,
10 825 wetherby Betting forecast: 7/4 Drom, 9/4 Opera Og, 6/1 Son Of Flicka,