Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Saturday 28th March 2015

Each way betting – a background How do I go about my each-way selection process? In this post you will see a list of races which all have one thing in common. They are all 8/9 runner races as this is the shortest field which pays out for horses finishing 1st, 2nd and 3rd . By selecting an 8/9 runner race, you immediately put the probabilities of selecting a horse to finish in the top 3, in your favour. Remember that your objective is to find a horse to finish in the top 3, with a winner being an obvious bonus. 1) we select only from 8/9 runner races 2) we make 2 selections. The first is called the Usual selection .

A usual selection is a horse who is near the head of the betting forecast and who looks like an obvious selection to finish in the first 3 at least. We then make a speculative selection. This horse is likely to be a bigger price and is selected because horse racing is inherently unpredictable and races are won by other -than the market leaders We want to be able to cover a bigger priced horse who might surprise.

On the 3rd May 2014, I selected just such a horse, Run with Pride, and he won at Betfair SP odds of 142, and paid 12 to place. 3) which brings me to my 3rd point. Use Betfair Sp for your win and place only bets . Why? Well Run with Pride won at odds of 142 using Betfair SP, and returned at only 33/1 with the bookmakers.

This is the background behind the selections you will find here. Make sure you check the place onlyterms at www.betfair.com. Some races may only pay out on 2 places. We want to see 3 places as it increases our probabilities of getting a return.

I left you with a couple of winners and a couple of placers , one at 20/1 on the 14th November.

I will leave out results today as time is short.

Yesterday

 

705 dundalk Betting forecast: 3/1 Maira, 3/1 Navegante, 4/1 Indian Tomahawk, 5/1 Manny Owens, 6/1 Hat Alnasar, 12/1 Tomorrow Morning, 25/1 Pink Lavender, 25/1 Pullman Brown, 50/1 Nialls Rory.
usual Manny Owens 5th 14.79
speculative Tomorrow Morning nk and head 3rd 13 win and 3.5 place

545 wolves Betting forecast: 13/8 Takafol, 4/1 Narborough, 5/1 Chapeau Bleu, 5/1 Regal Bond, 12/1 Bold Grove, 14/1 Lady Tatiana, 14/1 Penny Dreadful, 16/1 Reassert, 33/1 Gentlemen.
usual Chapeau Bleu 3rd 9.15 win and 2,2 place
speculative Lady Tatiana 7th 26

It goes down as a losing day but when a horse at 13 is beaten by a neck and a head, things could have been a lot different!

Today

420 doncaster Betting forecast: 6/4 King Of Normandy, 4/1 Captain Navarre, 5/1 Dominada, 7/1 Mr Cripps, 8/1 Pandora, 10/1 Ledbury, 14/1 Sonnolento, 16/1 More Mischief, 100/1 Ghostly Arc.
usual Dominada
speculative Ledbury
145 kempton Betting forecast: Evs Anwar, 100/30 Rah Rah, 7/1 Ojai, 8/1 What A Whopper, 14/1 Lingfield Lass, 20/1 Cleverconversation, 20/1 Lady Nayef, 25/1 Fabulous Flyer.
usual Ojai
speculative Lingfield Lass
400 kempton Betting forecast: 2/1 Gold Will, 3/1 Deluxe, 7/2 Ershaadaat, 15/2 Beauty Prince, 10/1 Storytale, 12/1 Fire And Passion, 25/1 Gunner Moyne, 33/1 Goldslinger.
usual Ershaadaat
speculative Storytale
135 uttoxeter Betting forecast: 11/10 Peggy Do, 2/1 Big Jim, 9/2 Horsehill, 10/1 Mor Brook, 14/1 Greensalt, 50/1 Desert Nova, 100/1 Letsfacethemusic, 100/1 Misirlou, 100/1 Toast And Jam.
usual Horsehill
speculative Greensalt