Bankers or Blowouts

Selections for Sunday 28th June 2015

Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Sunday 28th June 2015

I wrote an article for my eletter on this subject, focussing on Banker Bets and showing you how we can profit from them.

I’ll list some apparent “bankers” in this post, and time permitting, will try to do this daily. I try to look for 1.1 odds or higher. The goal is to win back your initial stake and bank that immediately, then play on, banking profits every £10 or so.

This is not a strategy where I’m trying to create the biggest odds returns. I want a “banker”, a bet which is obvious.

Bankers and Blowouts – the mini-DRT angle.

www.drt.club is my trading service where I do all of my football research. I have noticed that these bankers, whilst sometimes frustrating us with score draws and throwing away 2-0 leads, rarely lose matches. How can you profit? Well are you familiar with football trading? That is, reacting to how a match unfolds in-play? If you are then you would have taken on faith the fact that these bankers rarely lose, and layed Dundee in play , when they were 1-3 up to bankers Aberdeen. Final score ( as you see below), 3-3. How about more frustrating bar stewards like Club Brugge the other day against Mechelen.

Staying with our premis that Bankers rarely lose, what could you have done if Mechelen ( as they did) take the lead? Lay Mechelen! Better yet, what if the match was still 0-1 coming to 90 minutes? Lay Mechelen at lower odds for potentially greater profit! You know what happened next, I am sure. Club Brugge equalised in the 90th minute.

I have already mentioned the idea of laying a team 2-0 up, to lock in profit. Consider the above elements too , in order to maximise the premis that Bankers rarely lose.

Just an added note regarding staking. If the strike rate remains as high as it is, I would recommend staying with level stakes, but re-calculating every 20 bets  which would have produced a bank of 747 pounds from an initial 100 pounds in November. Increasing the frequency to re-calculating 10% of the betting bank every 10 bets does extract a little more profit.

Plenty to ponder there. If you increase the % of bank bet, of course, then things really start getting exciting ( but ever the cautious, I’d have to warn you that it would be a big fall from grace if we hit a losing run)

At this juncture, level stakes is the only realistic staking option as some bets kick off at the same time. If you wanted other options, then select one bet at one time, as long as the next bet began after the 1st bet ended. This way you could employ “reactive” staking.

By selecting one bet for a specific time, the number of bets reduces from 225 to 137. Is there any advantage in reactive staking? Let’s take a look.

http://www.thestakingmachine.com/pro.php is the staking plan of interest, betting 20% of the bank ( as the assumed strike rate will continue to be high), turned 100 pounds on 22 November 2014 into 1356.48 as of today. ( as you can tell I don’t have apound sign on my keyboard lol).

We can employ a higher risk staking I think with assumed higher strike rate strategies. If doing , I would strongly urge you to withdraw initial seed money once the bank has doubled to allow you tdivisioo employ these higher risk strategies using OPM  – other people’s money.

Yesterday

 

0-2 to Sirius and 1-0 to Sogndal until the 90th minute when Hodd scored an equaliser. As I mentioned, this ain’t Barcelona! As a trader,if backing Sogndal, you COULD have traded out, but that’s after-timing.

This is why I like August-April . Sogndal I don’t know as well as I know , say, Chelsea at home, Barcelona v bottom 6 sides in La Liga, Bayern Munich at home, Olympiakos v other than top 4 sides, Benfica at home, Galatasary v outside the top 6 at home. You get the idea.

I do use these shortlisted matches from a trading perspective. i.e. if Hodd scored first, I would be laying them. Similarly, with the form, if Sirius were drawing late on, I would definitely have layed the late draw.

Today

6pm – BATE Borisov v Dinamo Brest – 1.2 home – I expect a return to clean sheets for BATE today. They are rock-solid and kept all clean sheets bar last match.

7pm – Valerenga v Bodo Glimt – 1.47 home – goals should flow here today. I would expect, based on form, that Valerenga could score 3+ goals at least today and a hope this does not end up 4-3 to Bodo as happened in the last head to head.

I am happy with these 2. Should Valerenga be 2-0 up, I would trade out.