Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Monday 28th July 2014

Each way betting – a background

How do I go about my each-way selection process? In this post you will see a list of races which all have one thing in common. They are all 8/9 runner races as this is the shortest field which pays out for horses finishing 1st, 2nd and 3rd .

By selecting an 8/9 runner race, you immediately put the probabilities of selecting a horse to finish in the top 3, in your favour.

Remember that your objective is to find a horse to finish in the top 3, with a winner being an obvious bonus.

1) we select only from 8/9 runner races

2) we make 2 selections. The first is called the Usual selection . A usual selection is a horse who is near the head of the betting forecast and who looks like an obvious selection to finish in the first 3 at least. We then make a speculative selection. This horse is likely to be a bigger price and is selected because horse racing is inherently unpredictable and races are won by other -than the market leaders We want to be able to cover a bigger priced horse who might surprise.

On the 3rd May 2014, I selected just such a horse, Run with Pride, and he won at Betfair SP odds of 142, and paid 12 to place.

3) which brings me to my 3rd point. Use Betfair Sp for your win and place only bets . Why? Well Run with Pride won at odds of 142 using Betfair SP, and returned at only 33/1 with the bookmakers.

 

This is the background behind the selections you will find here.

Make sure you check the place only terms at www.betfair.com. Some races may only pay out on 2 places. We want to see 3 places as it increases our probabilities of getting a return.

Yesterday

210 carlsisle Betting forecast: 5/4 Gleneely Girl, 4/1 You´re My Cracker, 7/1 Indian Champ, 8/1 Intruder, 12/1 Grey Sensation, 12/1 Hey Bob, 12/1 Sandgate, 20/1 Mythmaker.
usual Indican Champ  – 4th 27.24 win a short head, a length and 3/4 length
speculative Hey Bob  -8th 36

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510 pontefract Betting forecast: 4/6 Hanno, 3/1 Lockhart, 11/2 Cliff, 20/1 Mr Gatsby, 25/1 Legal Advisor, 33/1 Endless Seas, 33/1 Lacerta, 50/1 Justcallhimbilly, 50/1 Sr Swing.
usual Cliff  – 3rd 14.69 win and 1.69 place
speculative Mr Gatsby – non runner
I said yesterday that these were reliant on the market leaders faltering, wellin the 210 Carlist, the 1st and 2nd in the betting, came 1st and 2nd. In the 510 Pontefract, the 1st and 2nd in the betting came 1st and 2nd. These things happen. Big rewards come when these market leaders falter, as they do.

Indian Champ seemed to be involved in a really tight finish, a short head, length and 3/4 length so were were knocking on the door were those 2 market leaders ready to falter

Today

400 ayr Betting forecast: 2/1 The Dukkerer, 7/2 Rust, 6/1 Erelight, 8/1 Hazza The Jazza, 9/1 It´s All A Game, 9/1 Mount Cheiron, 14/1 Jack Barker, 14/1 Medecis Mountain, 20/1 Berbice.
usual Ereligjht
speculative Mount Cherion

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430 ayr Betting forecast: 7/2 Saranta, 4/1 Torridon, 9/2 Secret City, 5/1 Sewn Up, 11/2 Blue Sonic, 8/1 Tortoise, 12/1 All Gone, 20/1 Mystical King, 20/1 Starlite Jewel.
usual Blue Sonic
speculative All gone

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500 ayr Betting forecast: 5/2 Push Me, 5/1 Megamunch, 6/1 Polar Forest, 13/2 Dark Crystal, 13/2 Order Of Service, 13/2 Tectonic, 8/1 Brooke´s Bounty, 10/1 Pat´s Legacy.
usual Polar Forest
speculative Brooke’s Bounty

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610 galway Betting forecast: 5/4 Jamaica, 13/8 Postulation, 8/1 Vocaliser, 10/1 Dudes And Diamonds, 16/1 Bunk Off Early, 16/1 Yulong Xiongfeng, 20/1 Seaforth, 33/1 One Cool Poet, 66/1 Vicarage.
usual Vocalist
speculative Bunk off early

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415 lingfield Betting forecast: Evs Oasis Mirage, 9/4 Narborough, 5/1 Quick Touch, 14/1 Lady Cooper, 20/1 Nora Batty, 25/1 Black Widow, 33/1 Speedy Rio, 33/1 Spider Bay.
usual Quick Tough
speculative lady Cooper