Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Wednesday 28th January 2015

Each way betting – a background How do I go about my each-way selection process? In this post you will see a list of races which all have one thing in common. They are all 8/9 runner races as this is the shortest field which pays out for horses finishing 1st, 2nd and 3rd . By selecting an 8/9 runner race, you immediately put the probabilities of selecting a horse to finish in the top 3, in your favour. Remember that your objective is to find a horse to finish in the top 3, with a winner being an obvious bonus. 1) we select only from 8/9 runner races 2) we make 2 selections. The first is called the Usual selection .

A usual selection is a horse who is near the head of the betting forecast and who looks like an obvious selection to finish in the first 3 at least. We then make a speculative selection. This horse is likely to be a bigger price and is selected because horse racing is inherently unpredictable and races are won by other -than the market leaders We want to be able to cover a bigger priced horse who might surprise.

On the 3rd May 2014, I selected just such a horse, Run with Pride, and he won at Betfair SP odds of 142, and paid 12 to place. 3) which brings me to my 3rd point. Use Betfair Sp for your win and place only bets . Why? Well Run with Pride won at odds of 142 using Betfair SP, and returned at only 33/1 with the bookmakers.

This is the background behind the selections you will find here. Make sure you check the place onlyterms at www.betfair.com. Some races may only pay out on 2 places. We want to see 3 places as it increases our probabilities of getting a return.

I left you with a couple of winners and a couple of placers , one at 20/1 on the 14th November.

I will leave out results today as time is short.

Yesterday

410 sthl Betting forecast: 15/8 Eium Mac, 11/4 Risk ´n´ Reward, 11/2 Lendal Bridge, 13/2 Ri Na Si, 10/1 Cyflymder, 12/1 Surround Sound, 16/1 Only For You, 20/1 Jessy Mae, 20/1 Run Fat Lass Run.
usual Lendal Bridge  – 3rd 6.77 win and 1.8 place
speculative Surround Sound – 6th 25.8
130 taunton Betting forecast: 11/8 Aroseforoscar, 5/1 Unefille De Guye, 13/2 Dancing Solo, 7/1 Baroque Man, 10/1 Flugzeug, 12/1 Canarbino Girl, 12/1 He´s The Daddy, 12/1 Olympian Boy, 16/1 Pembridge.
usual Dancing Solo  – 6th 4.25
speculative Canarbino Girl – pu 49.64
330 taunton Betting forecast: 2/1 Box Office, 7/2 Avel Vor, 6/1 Raven´s Tower, 7/1 Hawkhill, 9/1 Leviathan, 11/1 Chesil Beach Boy, 12/1 Loyaute, 16/1 Moss Street, 16/1 Tornado In Milan.
usual Avel Vor  – 7th 3.65
speculative Leviathan – neck 4th 8.74

Today

430 leicester Betting forecast: 2/1 One Cool Boy, 4/1 Catchin Time, 4/1 Midnight Mustang, 9/2 Sambulando, 8/1 Bathcounty, 10/1 Helamis, 33/1 Passing Fiesta, 33/1 Quinola Des Obeaux, 50/1 Marina Bay.
usual Midnight Mustang
speculative Helamis
150 newcastle Betting forecast: 4/5 Zip Top, 5/4 Fascino Rustico, 11/1 Delta Forty, 25/1 Clan Chief, 25/1 Imperial Prince, 33/1 Attention Please, 40/1 Bertie Moon, 66/1 Dutch Canyon, 100/1 Green Pastures.
usual Delta Forty
speculative Imperial Prince
250 newcastle Betting forecast: 6/4 Macgillycuddy, 4/1 Verko, 6/1 Whichwaytobougie, 7/1 Amore Mio, 10/1 Bollin Fiona, 10/1 Oscar O´scar, 10/1 Rojo Vivo, 25/1 El Fontan, 40/1 Reverse The Charge.
usual Whichwaytobougie
speculative Oscar O’scar