Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Wednesday 28th January 2015

A quick reminder, we place back the bookmaker’s favourite and not the Betfair favourite. This is an important distinction as quite often these are 2 different horses.

Background

2013 saw this place only betting idea of mine profit by about 45 points. That’s a decent return given the short odds which prevail in place only betting markets.

Follow these steps below

1) the races listed here are chosen from www.racingpost.com because they feature ” apparent ” 2 horse races. This is in inverted commas because we are using the betting forecast which is simply just a journalist’s idea of how the race will fare.

2) we back in the to place only market at www.betfair.com , to Betfair SP, the bookmaker’s favourite in these races. I tried a number of different strategies such as following the betting forecast favourite, or 2nd favourite, and found over time that the bookmaker favourite placed 80+% of the time.

3) we back in the to place only market at odds of between 1.1 and 1.5 only. Anything under 1.1 is simply not worth it. A cut off point of 1.5 ensures the strike rate does not diminish as we move to higher place only odds.

 Yesterday

4 210 sthl Betting forecast: 6/5 Abi Scarlet, 2/1 Barbs Princess, 7/2 Musical Molly, 4th 1.33
12 310 sthl Betting forecast: 6/4 Reetaj, 11/4 Ian´s Memory, 5/1 Street Force, 2nd 1.13
9 410 sthl Betting forecast: 15/8 Eium Mac, 11/4 Risk ´n´ Reward, 11/2 Lendal Bridge, 1st 1.45
10 230 taunton Betting forecast: 11/8 Remiluc, 7/4 Lac Leman, 8/1 Polo, 4th 1.26

Today

9 150 newcastle Betting forecast: 4/5 Zip Top, 5/4 Fascino Rustico, 11/1 Delta Forty
11 420 newcastle Betting forecast: 11/10 High Bridge, 11/4 Mahler Lad, 10/1 Penny Tara,