Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Saturday 28th February 2015

Each way betting – a background How do I go about my each-way selection process? In this post you will see a list of races which all have one thing in common. They are all 8/9 runner races as this is the shortest field which pays out for horses finishing 1st, 2nd and 3rd . By selecting an 8/9 runner race, you immediately put the probabilities of selecting a horse to finish in the top 3, in your favour. Remember that your objective is to find a horse to finish in the top 3, with a winner being an obvious bonus. 1) we select only from 8/9 runner races 2) we make 2 selections. The first is called the Usual selection .

A usual selection is a horse who is near the head of the betting forecast and who looks like an obvious selection to finish in the first 3 at least. We then make a speculative selection. This horse is likely to be a bigger price and is selected because horse racing is inherently unpredictable and races are won by other -than the market leaders We want to be able to cover a bigger priced horse who might surprise.

On the 3rd May 2014, I selected just such a horse, Run with Pride, and he won at Betfair SP odds of 142, and paid 12 to place. 3) which brings me to my 3rd point. Use Betfair Sp for your win and place only bets . Why? Well Run with Pride won at odds of 142 using Betfair SP, and returned at only 33/1 with the bookmakers.

This is the background behind the selections you will find here. Make sure you check the place onlyterms at www.betfair.com. Some races may only pay out on 2 places. We want to see 3 places as it increases our probabilities of getting a return.

I left you with a couple of winners and a couple of placers , one at 20/1 on the 14th November.

I will leave out results today as time is short.

Yesterday

240 doncaster Betting forecast: 11/8 Hannah´s Princess, 5/2 Hurricane´s Girl, 9/2 Promanco, 5/1 Always Managing, 14/1 Two Swallows, 20/1 Element Quartet, 50/1 Tapaidh Frankie, 50/1 Wojciech, 100/1 Vinaigrette.

usual Always managing  – 5th 10.5
speculative Two swallows – 2nd 16.13 win and 2.98 place
605 dundalk Betting forecast: 7/4 Hat Alnasar, 2/1 Maronella, 11/2 Special Forces, 6/1 Unchanged, 14/1 In The Dark, 20/1 Baby Dinnis, 20/1 Ravenmad Sam, 25/1 Ishebayorgrey, 50/1 Super Ollie Mario.
usual Special forces  – 6th 21.75
speculative In the dark – 8th 30
230 newbury Betting forecast: 4/6 Minella Rocco, 7/2 Royal Vacation, 5/1 April Dusk, 8/1 Local Show, 40/1 Showboater, 40/1 Tuffstuff, 100/1 The Lion Man, 100/1 Tulsa.
usual April Dusk  – ur 10
speculative Local show – non runner
645 wolves Betting forecast: 9/4 Cabal, 7/2 Spokesperson, 7/2 Supa Seeker, 7/1 Cookie Ring, 7/1 Thrtypointstothree, 10/1 Teide Peak, 25/1 Blue Clumber, 25/1 Her Red Devil, 33/1 Destiny Blue.
usual Supa seeker  – 7th 9.84
speculative Teide Peak – 5th 6.6
815 wolves Betting forecast: 7/2 Bushtiger, 7/2 Striking Stone, 5/1 Mon Petit Fleur, 6/1 Carron Valley, 6/1 Kyllach Me, 6/1 Out Of Aces, 14/1 Charles Messier, 16/1 Kylies Wild Card, 25/1 Arizona Snow.
usual Mon Petit Fleur  – 2nd 7.8 win and 2.25 place
speculative Charles Messier – 7th 40

Today

 125 doncaster Betting forecast: Evs Cardinal Walter, 9/4 Fort Worth, 4/1 Royalraise, 14/1 Heated Debate, 20/1 Luccombe Down, 25/1 Midnight Monty, 25/1 Tinos Tank, 100/1 Copperfacejack, 100/1 Kinari.
usual Royalraise
speculative Heated debate
205 leopardstown Betting forecast: 5/4 Felix Yonger, 3/1 Golantilla, 7/1 Western Boy, 8/1 Jennies Jewel, 10/1 Gerdago, 14/1 Black Spot On, 16/1 O Ceallaigh, 25/1 Cardinal Palace.
usual Western Boy
speculative Black Spot on
250 newbury Betting forecast: 5/2 Albert Bridge, 4/1 First Mohican, 13/2 Kiama Bay, 7/1 Attwaal, 9/1 Baby King, 9/1 Bonobo, 9/1 Like Sully, 10/1 Arthur´s Secret, 14/1 Royal Guardsman.
usual Kiama Bay
speculative Like Sully
400 newbury Betting forecast: 2/1 Rathealy, 9/2 Mccabe Creek, 5/1 Coup De Grace, 11/2 Civil War, 13/2 Rayak, 11/1 Verano, 14/1 Notnowsam, 16/1 Capilla, 20/1 Lifetime.
usual Coup de grace
speculative Verano