Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Thursday 28th August 2014

Each way betting – a background

How do I go about my each-way selection process? In this post you will see a list of races which all have one thing in common. They are all 8/9 runner races as this is the shortest field which pays out for horses finishing 1st, 2nd and 3rd .

By selecting an 8/9 runner race, you immediately put the probabilities of selecting a horse to finish in the top 3, in your favour.

Remember that your objective is to find a horse to finish in the top 3, with a winner being an obvious bonus.

1) we select only from 8/9 runner races

2) we make 2 selections. The first is called the Usual selection . A usual selection is a horse who is near the head of the betting forecast and who looks like an obvious selection to finish in the first 3 at least. We then make a speculative selection. This horse is likely to be a bigger price and is selected because horse racing is inherently unpredictable and races are won by other -than the market leaders We want to be able to cover a bigger priced horse who might surprise.

On the 3rd May 2014, I selected just such a horse, Run with Pride, and he won at Betfair SP odds of 142, and paid 12 to place.

3) which brings me to my 3rd point. Use Betfair Sp for your win and place only bets . Why? Well Run with Pride won at odds of 142 using Betfair SP, and returned at only 33/1 with the bookmakers.

 

This is the background behind the selections you will find here.

Make sure you check the place only terms at www.betfair.com. Some races may only pay out on 2 places. We want to see 3 places as it increases our probabilities of getting a return.

Yesterday

615 bellewstown Betting forecast: 5/2 Sauanna Belle, 7/2 Spirit Stone, 4/1 Lady Mandeville, 5/1 Zebed, 10/1 Easy Boy, 10/1 No Fear, 14/1 Evita Grey, 20/1 Staccato Wolf.
usual lady Mandeville  – 4th 5.86
speculative Easy Boy – 8th 18.35

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210 catterick Betting forecast: 11/8 Burning The Clocks, 5/2 You´re My Cracker, 7/1 Compton River, 8/1 Wiseton, 10/1 Charlie Lad, 16/1 Captain Future, 20/1 Little Polyanna, 25/1 Bushtiger, 33/1 Good Move.
usual Compton River  – 2nd 8.8 win and 2.01 place
speculative Captain Future – 5th 32

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200 carlisle Betting forecast: 5/2 Choc´a´moca, 3/1 Shillito, 7/2 Hab Reeh, 4/1 Slim Chance, 10/1 The Strig, 16/1 Bix, 16/1 One Kool Dude, 25/1 Thewestwalian.
usual Slim Chance  – neck 2nd 3.25 win and 1.42 place
speculative Bix – 8th 42.64

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500 carlisle Betting forecast: 11/4 Late Shipment, 9/2 Arantes, 5/1 Australia Day, 6/1 Laughing Jack, 13/2 A Southside Boy, 8/1 Ebony Express, 17/2 Mohawk Ridge, 10/1 La Bacouetteuse.
usual Australia Day  – 6th 9.08
speculative A Southside Boy – 5th 6.12

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655 kempton Betting forecast: 5/4 Allegation, 6/4 Limousine, 12/1 Graffiti Art, 14/1 Perfect Legend, 14/1 Seamour, 20/1 Musical Moon, 33/1 Garvie Bay, 33/1 Golden Bird.
usual Perfect legend  – 7th 40
speculative Seamour – neck 2nd 66.43 win and 5 place

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320 lingfield Betting forecast: 5/2 Passionate Affair, 7/2 Dire Straits, 4/1 Roman Riches, 9/2 Perfect Outcome, 8/1 Ohio, 10/1 Hiorne Tower, 14/1 Opus Too, 33/1 Desert Island Dusk.
usual Perfect Outcome  – 7th 40
speculative hiorne Tower – 8th 17.79

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600 lingfield Betting forecast: 3/1 Exceedexpectations, 7/2 Secret Success, 4/1 Charter, 6/1 Marjong, 7/1 Evident, 9/1 Medam, 10/1 Multitask, 20/1 Harry Bosch, 33/1 Boboli Gardens.
usual Marjong  – 4th 6.59
speculative Multitask – 8th 21

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735 worcester Betting forecast: 6/4 Discay, 2/1 A Tail Of Intrigue, 4/1 Bathwick Street, 11/2 Blazing Glen, 20/1 Poetic Presence, 50/1 Made Of Diamonds, 100/1 Market Mal, 100/1 Witness Appeal.
usual Bathwick street  – 3rd 4.5 win and 1.33 place
speculative Blazing Glen – non runner

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What a cruel sport! A neck 2nd at 66.43 follows a neck 2nd at 100+ the other week.

Today

715 bellewstown Betting forecast: 9/4 Thomas Ledger, 11/4 Rathmuck Native, 4/1 First To Boogie, 6/1 Premier Style, 10/1 Miss Dinamic, 14/1 Mclaren Vale, 20/1 Muine Bheag, 20/1 Riverrainshine, 25/1 Givetheboysadrink.
usual First to boogie
speculative Miss Dinamic

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610 lingfield Betting forecast: 11/10 Moonvoy, 7/4 New Identity, 11/2 Virile, 18/1 Satchville Flyer, 20/1 Canary Lad, 25/1 Lostintheclouds, 25/1 Thrtypointstothree, 33/1 Tsarglas.
usual Virile
speculative Satchville flyer

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155 stratford Betting forecast: 11/4 Gimme Five, 11/4 Mr Gallivanter, 6/1 Jazzy Lady, 6/1 Ravenous, 6/1 Relentless Pursuit, 8/1 Malachim Mist, 16/1 Announcement, 33/1 Lady Red Oak.
usual Jazzy lady
speculative Relentless pursuit

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220 stratford Betting forecast: 6/4 Mile House, 7/4 Rockmount River, 7/1 Tinkers Lane, 8/1 Shah Of Persia, 20/1 Shadesofnavy, 20/1 Supapowers, 25/1 Seymour Legend, 33/1 Zero Visibility, 50/1 Swanage Bay.
usual Shah of Persia
speculative Shadesofnavy

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455 stratford Betting forecast: 15/8 Celesta, 4/1 Oldeddietherebel, 11/2 Slanestown, 8/1 Primo Rossi, 8/1 Spin The Beat, 8/1 Whatthebutlersaw, 10/1 Silent Mission, 25/1 Gilly´s Filly.
usual Primo Rossi
speculative Silent mission

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600 tipperary Betting forecast: 2/1 Fit For The Job, 5/2 Toscanelli, 11/2 Fields Of May, 6/1 Puck Fair, 8/1 Initial, 14/1 Cocoon, 16/1 Just A Penny, 33/1 Bluerince Lady.
usual Fields of May
speculative Cocoon

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