Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Friday 27th November 2015

Each way betting – a background How do I go about my each-way selection process? In this post you will see a list of races which all have one thing in common. They are all 8/9 runner races as this is the shortest field which pays out for horses finishing 1st, 2nd and 3rd . By selecting an 8/9 runner race, you immediately put the probabilities of selecting a horse to finish in the top 3, in your favour. Remember that your objective is to find a horse to finish in the top 3, with a winner being an obvious bonus. 1) we select only from 8/9 runner races 2) we make 2 selections. The first is called the Usual selection .

A usual selection is a horse who is near the head of the betting forecast and who looks like an obvious selection to finish in the first 3 at least. We then make a speculative selection. This horse is likely to be a bigger price and is selected because horse racing is inherently unpredictable and races are won by other -than the market leaders We want to be able to cover a bigger priced horse who might surprise.

On the 3rd May 2014, I selected just such a horse, Run with Pride, and he won at Betfair SP odds of 142, and paid 12 to place. 3) which brings me to my 3rd point. Use Betfair Sp for your win and place only bets . Why? Well Run with Pride won at odds of 142 using Betfair SP, and returned at only 33/1 with the bookmakers.

This is the background behind the selections you will find here. Make sure you check the place onlyterms at www.betfair.com. Some races may only pay out on 2 places. We want to see 3 places as it increases our probabilities of getting a return.

 

 

Yesterday

610 chelmsford Betting forecast: 7/4 Epsom Day, 7/2 Silas R, 5/1 Jassur, 6/1 Harlequin Rock, 7/1 Goldenfield, 10/1 Recognition, 16/1 Northman, 50/1 Its A Sheila Thing, 50/1 Lady President.
usual Silas  – 1st 27 win and 4.26 place
speculative Goldenfield – 2nd 5.49 win and 1.62 place
640 chelmsford Betting forecast: 9/4 Guishan, 5/1 Hoofalong, 5/1 Luis Vaz De Torres, 5/1 Yeeoow, 11/2 Stellarta, 12/1 Clubland, 14/1 Dark Side Dream, 16/1 Swiss Cross, 25/1 Pour La Victoire.
usual Luis Vaz De Torres  – 2nd 9.18 win and 3.45 place
speculative Dark Side Dream – 6th 33.81
310 thurles Betting forecast: 7/4 Daneking, 2/1 Jennies Jewel, 9/2 Mount Colah, 10/1 Hostile Fire, 12/1 Sonny B, 12/1 The Crafty Butcher, 25/1 Dushrembrandt, 33/1 Mireya, 100/1 Eiri Na Casca.
usual Mount Coolah –  1st 6.35 win and 2.2 place
speculative Sonny B – 6th 34

Well we had some massive priced placers the day before. All that knocking on the door paid off yesterday.

Today

155 doncaster Betting forecast: 9/4 Baltic Storm, 5/2 Iniciar, 4/1 Holly Bush Henry, 5/1 Innocent Touch, 8/1 Mr Kit Cat, 16/1 Spifer, 25/1 Deadly Approach, 25/1 King Simba, 50/1 Zakety Zak.
usual Iniciar
speculative Mr Kit Cat
230 doncaster Betting forecast: 11/10 Charbel, 5/2 Emperor Commodos, 9/2 Boston De La Roche, 12/1 Go Long, 14/1 Cactus Valley, 14/1 Sarpech, 20/1 Muthabir, 50/1 Little Big Town, 50/1 That Be Grand.
usual Emperor Commodos
speculative Go Long
1225 newbury Betting forecast: 9/4 Copain De Classe, 3/1 Ardamir, 4/1 Darebin, 5/1 Kasakh Noir, 10/1 Major Mac, 12/1 Extreme Appeal, 16/1 The Coffee Hunter, 25/1 Fitzwilliam, 50/1 Kingston Mimosa.
usual Darebin
speculative Extreme Appeal
645 wolves Betting forecast: 7/4 Cold As Ice, 4/1 Lamar, 5/1 Alfajer, 5/1 Kyllachy Queen, 10/1 Maggie Pink, 10/1 Secret Hint, 16/1 Invoke, 20/1 Skinny Love, 66/1 Lucky Di.
usual Kyllachy Queen
speculative Secret Hunt
715 wolves Betting forecast: 5/2 Wink Oliver, 3/1 Idol Deputy, 9/2 Shamlan, 11/2 Hercullian Prince, 10/1 Al´s Memory, 10/1 Hernando Torres, 16/1 Glasgow Central, 20/1 Street Force.
usual Idol Deputy
speculative Al’s Memory