Racing Testing Lab

With this post, I am looking at a number of laying strategies, and these tend to be focussed upon the all-weather. The first strategy is laying penalised horses on the all-weather. These horses tend to be “anchored” by an increase in weight and over time have proven to be profitable when we lay 6lb and 12lb penalty handicap winners..

Laying favourites in Irish bumpers is simplicity itself. What we do is, well, lay favourites in Irish National Hunt flat races.

I wrote an article on lay Ladders in May 2014’s edition of What Really Wins Money. This lay ladder article uses the lay selections found below in the”Lay the Favourite on the All Weather in Maidens Claimers and Sellers” section below. It has proven to be very profitable long-term. But if loss retrieval is not your thing ( and it won’t be for some because losses can be large, despite long, long winning runs), then leave this alone.

The last section is “Back the favourite in the worse performing races on the all weather.” This section needs www.stakingmachine.com or a knowledge of “rolling doubles ” staking plan. You can read about this staking plan at http://www.thestakingmachine.com/rolling_doubles.php

Handicap Top weights on the all-weather.

Laying handicap top weights ( not joint top weights) has been a profitable long term endeavour. I lay below the odds of 10. We do occasionally hit a big priced winner but it seems that the lost liability is negated quickly thanks to the consistent stream of winning lays. I post an update for the month in What Really Wins Money newsletter.

 Yesterday

150 wolves master of disguise 5th 6.9
250 wolves squats 5th 8.6
325 wolves sonnetation 1st 2.76
400 wolves swing alone 3rd 8.1
430 wolves well owd mon 10th 2.8
505 wolves rezwaan 3rd 3.68
645 chel bint dandy 1st 2.9
715chel gung ho jack 4th 3.6
745 chel hanno 6th 3.3

Today

605 dundalk octavia
635 dundalk well insured
735 dundalk rummaging
805 dundalk shabra emperor
200 lingfield masipa
405 lingfield smidgen
515 lingfield submersive
715 wolves shareni

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Laying penalised horses on the all-weather. It seems these horses are vulnerable when given a 6 lb or 12 lb penalty

Yesterday

505 wolves rezwaan 3rd 3.68

Today

515 lingfield submersive
715 wolves apollo eleven

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Lay the Favourite in Irish Bumpers .

A bumper race is a National Hunt Flat Race. They are found in jumps meetings and usually are the last race of the day. These races has “flat race” or a derivative thereof in the title and laying the favourite to level stakes has proven to be very profitable over time.

Yesterday

610 cork 1st 2.89

Today

None

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Lay the Favourite on the All Weather in Maidens Claimers and Sellers

The idea here is to focus on races on the All-weather ( you will see an AW in brackets at www.racingpost.com cards whenever there is an all-weather meeting.) I thought that targeting favourites in traditionally tough races ( maidens – horses who are starting out in their careers and have never won can be inconsistent), claimers ( open to upsets) and sellers( poor horses running and then being sold on) would produce a reasonable profit over time. This has proved the case so far.

I may have found an excellent staking plan to accompany this strategy. This betting strategy lays the favourites in the races listed below ONLY if they are 3.5 or higher in the Betfair market. We operate a 3 bet betting cycle, looking to retrieve losses and stake should the first lay lose.

It is high risk, but so far the longest losing sequence is 2. This is a strategy for quickly building up a betting bank.

I don’t include joint favourites when laying.

Yesterday

mdn 615 chelmsford 1st 1.38
mdn 220 wolves 1st 2

Today

mdn 705 dundalk
mdn 835 dundalk
clm 230 lingfield
mdn 330 lingfield
mdn 545 wolves
mdn 815 wolves

Mdn = Maiden Slr = Seller clm = claimer

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Back the favourite in the worse performing races on the all weather.

Thisis actually making a profit as a backing system with a very specialist staking plan and backing all selections priced at 3.5 and under.

http://www.thestakingmachine.com/rolling_doubles.php is the staking plan and very interesting it is too. It seems perfectly suited to favourites

This staking plan and backing idea seems to be producing the goods!

Yesterday

325 wolves 1st 2.76
400 wolves 1st 2.54
430 wolves 10th 2.8
505 wolves 3rd 3.68

Today

615 wolves
715 wolves
745 wolves