Racing Testing LabA quick reminder, we place back the bookmaker’s favourite and not the Betfair favourite. This is an important distinction as quite often these are 2 different horses.
Background
2013 saw this place only betting idea of mine profit by about 45 points. That’s a decent return given the short odds which prevail in place only betting markets.
Follow these steps below
1) the races listed here are chosen from www.racingpost.com because they feature ” apparent ” 2 horse races. This is in inverted commas because we are using the betting forecast which is simply just a journalist’s idea of how the race will fare.
2) we back in the to place only market at www.betfair.com , to Betfair SP, the bookmaker’s favourite in these races. I tried a number of different strategies such as following the betting forecast favourite, or 2nd favourite, and found over time that the bookmaker favourite placed 80+% of the time.
3) we back in the to place only market at odds of between 1.1 and 1.5 only. Anything under 1.1 is simply not worth it. A cut off point of 1.5 ensures the strike rate does not diminish as we move to higher place only odds.
Yesterday
8 420 ludlow Betting forecast: Evs Seven Nation Army, 11/8 One For The Guv´nr, 7/1 Arthamint, 1st 1.05
8 330 plumpton Betting forecast: 15/8 Zero Visibility, 9/4 Lucky Prince, 4/1 Bennachie, 5th 1.42
Today
4 210 sthl Betting forecast: 6/5 Abi Scarlet, 2/1 Barbs Princess, 7/2 Musical Molly,
12 310 sthl Betting forecast: 6/4 Reetaj, 11/4 Ian´s Memory, 5/1 Street Force,
9 410 sthl Betting forecast: 15/8 Eium Mac, 11/4 Risk ´n´ Reward, 11/2 Lendal Bridge,
10 230 taunton Betting forecast: 11/8 Remiluc, 7/4 Lac Leman, 8/1 Polo,