Racing Testing Lab

With this post, I am looking at a number of laying strategies, and these tend to be focussed upon the all-weather. The first strategy is laying penalised horses on the all-weather. These horses tend to be “anchored” by an increase in weight and over time have proven to be profitable when we lay 6lb and 12lb penalty handicap winners..

Laying favourites in Irish bumpers is simplicity itself. What we do is, well, lay favourites in Irish National Hunt flat races.

I wrote an article on lay Ladders in May 2014’s edition of What Really Wins Money. This lay ladder article uses the lay selections found below in the”Lay the Favourite on the All Weather in Maidens Claimers and Sellers” section below. It has proven to be very profitable long-term. But if loss retrieval is not your thing ( and it won’t be for some because losses can be large, despite long, long winning runs), then leave this alone.

The last section is “Back the favourite in the worse performing races on the all weather.” This section needs www.stakingmachine.com or a knowledge of “rolling doubles ” staking plan. You can read about this staking plan at http://www.thestakingmachine.com/rolling_doubles.php

Handicap Top weights on the all-weather.

Laying handicap top weights ( not joint top weights) has been a profitable long term endeavour. I lay below the odds of 10. We do occasionally hit a big priced winner but it seems that the lost liability is negated quickly thanks to the consistent stream of winning lays. I post an update for the month in What Really Wins Money newsletter.

 Yesterday

210 sthl marigot bay 8th 29
310 sthl lucky mark 3rd 4.67
340 sthl royal marskell 1st 3.95
415 sthl walk like a giant 4th 3.29
450 sthl city of ankhor wat
610 chelmsford goldmachen 4th 4.31
710 chelmsford forceful appeal 1st 4.4
740 chelms spiritoftomintoul 5th 4.42
810 chelms chookie royale 1st 8.81

Today

535 dundalk bubbly bellini
635 dundalk have a nice day
705 dundalk clutchingatstraws
735 dundalk habesh
805 dundalk poker gold
905 dundalk wither hills
220 lingfield birkdale boy
430 lingfield realize
505 lingfield great expectations
545 wolves gios last
615 wolves dutch rifle
645 wolves spokesperson
715 wolves pink lips
745 wolves luv u whatever

Remember the Dundalk problem! Earlier numerous winners spoilt profitable weeks. They did behave themselves last week though.

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Laying penalised horses on the all-weather. It seems these horses are vulnerable when given a 6 lb or 12 lb penalty

Yesterday

415 sthl walk like a giant 4th 3.29
450 sthl city of ankhor wat 2nd 5.24
610 chelms goldmadchen 4th 4.31

Today

220 lingfield birkdale boy
430 lingfield ocean legend
545 wolves gios last
545 wolves nouvelle ere
615 wolves lean on pete

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Lay the Favourite in Irish Bumpers .

A bumper race is a National Hunt Flat Race. They are found in jumps meetings and usually are the last race of the day. These races has “flat race” or a derivative thereof in the title and laying the favourite to level stakes has proven to be very profitable over time.

Yesterday

525 thurles 4th 3.15

Today

None

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Lay the Favourite on the All Weather in Maidens Claimers and Sellers

The idea here is to focus on races on the All-weather ( you will see an AW in brackets at www.racingpost.com cards whenever there is an all-weather meeting.) I thought that targeting favourites in traditionally tough races ( maidens – horses who are starting out in their careers and have never won can be inconsistent), claimers ( open to upsets) and sellers( poor horses running and then being sold on) would produce a reasonable profit over time. This has proved the case so far.

I may have found an excellent staking plan to accompany this strategy. This betting strategy lays the favourites in the races listed below ONLY if they are 3.5 or higher in the Betfair market. We operate a 3 bet betting cycle, looking to retrieve losses and stake should the first lay lose.

It is high risk, but so far the longest losing sequence is 2. This is a strategy for quickly building up a betting bank.

I don’t include joint favourites when laying.

Yesterday

mdn 535 chelsmford 8th 3.62
mdn 240 sthl 2nd 2.16

Today

mdn 605 dundalk
mdn 835 dundalk
mdn 325 lingfield
mdn 845 wolves

Mdn = Maiden Slr = Seller clm = claimer

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Back the favourite in the worse performing races on the all weather.

Thisis actually making a profit as a backing system with a very specialist staking plan and backing all selections priced at 3.5 and under.

http://www.thestakingmachine.com/rolling_doubles.php is the staking plan and very interesting it is too. It seems perfectly suited to favourites

This staking plan and backing idea seems to be producing the goods!

Yesterday

210 sthl 2nd and 4th 3.25

Today

545 wolves
615 wolves
645 wolves
715 wolves
745 wolves