Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Sunday 26th October 2014

Each way betting – a background How do I go about my each-way selection process? In this post you will see a list of races which all have one thing in common. They are all 8/9 runner races as this is the shortest field which pays out for horses finishing 1st, 2nd and 3rd . By selecting an 8/9 runner race, you immediately put the probabilities of selecting a horse to finish in the top 3, in your favour. Remember that your objective is to find a horse to finish in the top 3, with a winner being an obvious bonus. 1) we select only from 8/9 runner races 2) we make 2 selections. The first is called the Usual selection .

A usual selection is a horse who is near the head of the betting forecast and who looks like an obvious selection to finish in the first 3 at least. We then make a speculative selection. This horse is likely to be a bigger price and is selected because horse racing is inherently unpredictable and races are won by other -than the market leaders We want to be able to cover a bigger priced horse who might surprise.

On the 3rd May 2014, I selected just such a horse, Run with Pride, and he won at Betfair SP odds of 142, and paid 12 to place. 3) which brings me to my 3rd point. Use Betfair Sp for your win and place only bets . Why? Well Run with Pride won at odds of 142 using Betfair SP, and returned at only 33/1 with the bookmakers.

This is the background behind the selections you will find here. Make sure you check the place onlyterms at www.betfair.com. Some races may only pay out on 2 places. We want to see 3 places as it increases our probabilities of getting a return.

Yesterday

155 chepstow Betting forecast: 2/1 Primo Capitano, 3/1 Casino Markets, 5/1 Glenwood Star, 5/1 Letbeso, 7/1 Wizards Bridge, 16/1 An Poc Ar Buile, 16/1 Back Door Approach, 25/1 Ruperra Tom, 66/1 Myetta.
usual Glenwood star pu 7.51
speculative An Poc Ar Buile 1st 42 win and 7.36 place
335 cheptow Betting forecast: 2/1 Son Du Berlais, 9/2 Vicente, 11/2 Blaklion, 11/2 Relentless Dreamer, 11/2 The Pirate´s Queen, 10/1 My Direction, 12/1 Henllan Harri, 16/1 Mile House.
usual Rlentless dreamer 5th 14.5
speculative My Direction 7th 32
515 chepstow Betting forecast: 7/2 Red Rouble, 7/2 Somerby, 9/2 Ballyvoneen, 9/2 Sarika, 6/1 River D´or, 6/1 Tuskar Rock, 16/1 Stafford Charlie, 25/1 Zigzaga, 40/1 First Spirit.
usual Sarika 6th 5.35
speculative Stafford Charlie 7th 30.89
210 doncaster Betting forecast: 6/4 Portamento, 7/2 Salt Island, 4/1 Growl, 8/1 Manofmanytalents, 8/1 Rosie´s Premiere, 11/1 Code Red, 25/1 Lackaday, 40/1 Burning The Clocks.
usual Growl 8th 3/1
speculative Code Red 1st 11/2 ( not on betfair timeform results yet)
350 doncaster Betting forecast: 7/4 Elm Park, 7/2 Jacobean, 4/1 Celestial Path, 8/1 Restorer, 9/1 Snoano, 12/1 Aloft, 16/1 Tupi, 25/1 Cock Of The North.
usual Celestial Path 3rd 6/1
speculative Aloft 2nd 10/1

220 newbury Betting forecast: 9/4 Sky Hunter, 5/1 Glorious Protector, 5/1 Red Galileo, 11/2 Battalion, 11/2 Rawaki, 8/1 Quiz Mistress, 12/1 Penglai Pavilion, 20/1 Island Remede.
usual Red Galileo 6th 5.9
speculative Quiz mistress 4th 10.17

215 stratford Betting forecast: 2/1 Hawdyerwheesht, 5/2 Red Seventy, 4/1 Unidexter, 5/1 Saver, 20/1 Banreenahreenkah, 20/1 Juvenal, 20/1 Ogaritmo, 25/1 Buzz Law.
usual Saver 3rd 11.5 win and 2.46 place
speculative Juvenal 5th 37.8

250 wexford Betting forecast: 2/1 Call Rog, 11/2 He´s Our Man, 6/1 Mitebeall Forluck, 13/2 Nearest The Pin, 8/1 Dick Dundee, 17/2 Tisamystery, 10/1 Casey Top, 10/1 Foritsa, 12/1 The Amarillo Kid.
usual Mitebeall Forluck 1st 8.6 win and 2.85 place
speculative Tisamystery 7th 5.14
615 wolves Betting forecast: 13/8 Exceedingly, 2/1 Shackled N Drawn, 8/1 Kodiac Lady, 10/1 More Spice, 12/1 Able Spirit, 12/1 Show Boat, 14/1 Star Fire, 33/1 Coursing, 50/1 Mon Petit Fleur.
usual Kodiac Lady 5th 7.8
speculative Show boat 8th 30.25

An excellent day yesterday hitting the jackpot with a winner at 42 and a couple of other winners. Compensated for the unplaced horses.

Today

125 galway Betting forecast: 8/15 All Hell Let Loose, 9/2 Old Storm, 11/2 Rocky Court, 12/1 Lucky Fancy, 33/1 Amazing Glory, 33/1 First Warning, 50/1 Balofilo, 50/1 Miss Peaches.
usual Rocky Court
speculative Lucky Fancy
415 galway Betting forecast: 4/5 Windsor Park, 4/1 Marchese Marconi, 6/1 Eric The Grey, 7/1 Golden Plan, 10/1 Irish Thistle, 16/1 Sea Beat, 33/1 Mighty Whitey, 50/1 Father Jack.
usual Golden Plan
speculative Irish Thistle
330 wincanton Betting forecast: 15/8 Earthmoves, 11/4 Honey Pound, 5/1 Lawsons Thorns, 11/2 Poker School, 13/2 Hannah Just Hannah, 12/1 Smart Motive, 33/1 Borguy, 33/1 Edeiff´s Lad, 40/1 Pagham Belle.
usual Poker school
speculative Smart Motive