Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Wednesday 26th November 2014

Each way betting – a background How do I go about my each-way selection process? In this post you will see a list of races which all have one thing in common. They are all 8/9 runner races as this is the shortest field which pays out for horses finishing 1st, 2nd and 3rd . By selecting an 8/9 runner race, you immediately put the probabilities of selecting a horse to finish in the top 3, in your favour. Remember that your objective is to find a horse to finish in the top 3, with a winner being an obvious bonus. 1) we select only from 8/9 runner races 2) we make 2 selections. The first is called the Usual selection .

A usual selection is a horse who is near the head of the betting forecast and who looks like an obvious selection to finish in the first 3 at least. We then make a speculative selection. This horse is likely to be a bigger price and is selected because horse racing is inherently unpredictable and races are won by other -than the market leaders We want to be able to cover a bigger priced horse who might surprise.

On the 3rd May 2014, I selected just such a horse, Run with Pride, and he won at Betfair SP odds of 142, and paid 12 to place. 3) which brings me to my 3rd point. Use Betfair Sp for your win and place only bets . Why? Well Run with Pride won at odds of 142 using Betfair SP, and returned at only 33/1 with the bookmakers.

This is the background behind the selections you will find here. Make sure you check the place onlyterms at www.betfair.com. Some races may only pay out on 2 places. We want to see 3 places as it increases our probabilities of getting a return.

I left you with a couple of winners and a couple of placers , one at 20/1 on the 14th November.

Yesterday

 

1230 lingfield Betting forecast: 6/4 The Green Ogre, 3/1 Golan To War, 4/1 Haatefina, 5/1 Allthegear No Idea, 33/1 Walk Of Gleams, 50/1 Primo Rossi, 50/1 Us Et Garry, 100/1 Derryogue, 100/1 Ethelred.
usual Haatefina  – 4th 6.21
speculative Walk of Gleams – p/u 423.72
220 sedgefield Betting forecast: 2/1 Amir Pasha, 4/1 Captain Sharpe, 11/2 Stanley Bridge, 6/1 Orchard Road, 8/1 Amtired, 9/1 Sea Rocket, 10/1 Ardesia, 12/1 Casual Cavalier.
usual Stanley Bridge  – 3rd 11.1 win and 3.35 place
speculative Sea Rocket – 4th 5.6
320 sedgefield Betting forecast: 6/4 Legacy Phoenix, 7/2 John Williams, 5/1 Hillier, 10/1 Guns At Midnight, 11/1 Cuddys Well, 14/1 Broadway Belle, 14/1 Louloumills, 14/1 Perseid, 16/1 William Russell.
usual Hillier  – 5th 9.46
speculative Broadway Belle – 3rd 71.74 win and 8.6 place
1210 sthl Betting forecast: 9/4 Company Secretary, 7/2 It´s All A Game, 5/1 Jonnie Skull, 6/1 Angelena Ballerina, 7/1 Poor Duke, 9/1 Supa Seeker, 12/1 La Danza, 25/1 Mazovian, 33/1 Moxey.
usual Jonnie Skull  – 4th 9.55
speculative La Danza – 5th 17.06

110 sthl Betting forecast: 6/5 Wu Zetian, 9/4 Whispering Star, 8/1 Lendal Bridge, 10/1 Disco Dale, 14/1 Dark Diamond, 16/1 Danzki, 20/1 Major Rowan, 50/1 Sea Whisper.
usual Lendal Bridge  – 5th 12
speculative Dark Diamond – 3rd 45.83 win and 6.6 place

Today

630 dundalk Betting forecast: 9/4 Sgt Rock, 4/1 Indian Tomahawk, 9/2 Jacobs Well, 5/1 Dubai Crown, 11/2 Virtual Velocity, 6/1 Shannon Soul, 10/1 Charlie Bear, 50/1 Pao De Acuca.
usual Jacobs well
speculative Charlie Bear
900 dundalk Betting forecast: 9/4 Elusive Laurence, 11/4 Moonmeister, 9/2 Headlong, 6/1 Sar Oiche, 8/1 Broadway Musical, 10/1 Barmy Brussels, 20/1 Randall´s Rebecca, 25/1 Dangerous Flower.
usual Headlong
speculative Barmy Brussels
1240 fontwell Betting forecast: 4/6 Coologue, 5/4 Southfield Royale, 25/1 Like Sully, 33/1 Graphical, 50/1 Bridgetown, 50/1 Tara Bridge, 100/1 Burgess Dream, 100/1 Rosa Imperialis, 100/1 Underwood.
usual Like Sully
speculative Bridgetown
615 kempton Betting forecast: Evs Rightway, 6/4 Kokovoko, 7/1 Summersault, 10/1 Franco´s Secret, 33/1 Devils In My Head, 100/1 Beggers Luck, 100/1 Courtezan, 100/1 Scafell Pike.
usual Summersault
speculative Franco’s secret
330 wetherby Betting forecast: 6/4 Carinena, 3/1 Now Let Go, 6/1 Bedale Lane, 6/1 Midnight Silver, 10/1 Isla Fernandos, 10/1 Romann Angel, 20/1 Lucydoli, 50/1 Hoofitrita, 66/1 Kara Tara.
usual Bedale Lane
speculative Romann Angel