Each way betting – a background How do I go about my each-way selection process? In this post you will see a list of races which all have one thing in common. They are all 8/9 runner races as this is the shortest field which pays out for horses finishing 1st, 2nd and 3rd . By selecting an 8/9 runner race, you immediately put the probabilities of selecting a horse to finish in the top 3, in your favour. Remember that your objective is to find a horse to finish in the top 3, with a winner being an obvious bonus. 1) we select only from 8/9 runner races 2) we make 2 selections. The first is called the Usual selection .

A usual selection is a horse who is near the head of the betting forecast and who looks like an obvious selection to finish in the first 3 at least. We then make a speculative selection. This horse is likely to be a bigger price and is selected because horse racing is inherently unpredictable and races are won by other -than the market leaders We want to be able to cover a bigger priced horse who might surprise.

On the 3rd May 2014, I selected just such a horse, Run with Pride, and he won at Betfair SP odds of 142, and paid 12 to place. 3) which brings me to my 3rd point. Use Betfair Sp for your win and place only bets . Why? Well Run with Pride won at odds of 142 using Betfair SP, and returned at only 33/1 with the bookmakers.

This is the background behind the selections you will find here. Make sure you check the place onlyterms at www.betfair.com. Some races may only pay out on 2 places. We want to see 3 places as it increases our probabilities of getting a return.

Yesterday

210 newcastle Betting forecast: 5/2 Street Duel, 5/2 Stylish Boy, 9/2 Airton, 6/1 Be Kool, 6/1 Good Intent, 10/1 Rock On, 25/1 Lord Mcguffy, 66/1 Onefourseven.
usual Airton  – 4th 5.39
speculative Rock On – 7th 17

Another race and another potential 2 favs clogging up 2 of the placed. I must stick with these races though as it only takes the front 2 to falter and we are in with a chance .
355 newcastle Betting forecast: 6/4 Wor Lass, 7/2 Exclusive Contract, 6/1 Frosty The Snowman, 6/1 Noble Reach, 10/1 Omid, 10/1 Prostate Awareness, 20/1 Jebulani, 20/1 Roughlyn.
usual Exclusive Contract  – 4th 3.05
speculative Omid – 7th 15

I opted for the obvious 2nd favourite today to take advantage if Wor Lass had too much cheese and chips on the Toon last night. The speculative choice could be Omid or Prostrate Awareness so is a “hit and hope”.
715 salisbury Betting forecast: 5/2 Ice Lord, 4/1 Holland Park, 5/1 Regal Miss, 5/1 Tap Shoes, 7/1 Top Of The Art, 8/1 Outrage, 10/1 Daydream Believer, 25/1 Candy Val, 25/1 Oat Couture.
usual Regal Miss -non runner
speculative Outrage -7th 30

Regal Miss or Tap Shoes are obvious usual selections. I opted for the former, for no rhyme or reason. Outrage as the speculative choice is ok for me. Hope the 2 outsiders don’t place allowing us a decent probability chance of success.

225 wexford Betting forecast: 2/5 Georgia On My Mind, 11/4 Faseeha, 16/1 For Goodness Sake, 20/1 Pure Drama, 33/1 Crocosmia, 33/1 Mary Kate, 33/1 Moonlight Art, 33/1 Red Riding Hood, 66/1 Mizpah.
usual Faseeha  -2nd 2.02 win and 1.17 place
speculative For Godness sake-1st 6.19 win and 1.58 place

We saw the last time a shortie faltered we got a double figure odds payout. Same again please.
405 york Betting forecast: 15/8 Point Of Woods, 7/2 Reputation, 4/1 Back To Bond, 9/2 Brilliant Vanguard, 8/1 Penwortham, 20/1 Never Give In, 25/1 Mister Mischief, 33/1 Athollblair Boy, 33/1 Rupert Boy.
usual Reputation -1st 3.45 win and 1.4 place
speculative Penwortham-4th 16.23

Reputation or Back to Bond my usual contenders. I went with the former. Penwortham picks himself. Now if these outsiders run as outsiders we really will have a solid shout at a place/winner today.

If there’s nothing I hate more than a neck, short head 3rd !, it’s a FECKING 4TH! For each way players, it’s like being stuck in a lift with Kanye West.  3 4th placers yesterday is just missing out on that important place payout which protects the betting bank.

Today

230 uttoxeter Betting forecast: 11/10 Tahira, 11/8 Tea In Transvaal, 12/1 Hija, 16/1 Annskert Lady, 16/1 Cabin Fever, 16/1 Moulin Rouge, 33/1 Flemerina, 50/1 Crosslanes.
usual Hija
speculative Cabin Fever

We might see the first 2 favourites clog up the places. This is a jumps race and a lot can happen in running, so I hope at least we get a place, and at best, we are there if Tahira and Tea in Transvaal under-perform today. Remember that they don’t know their odds!