Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Tuesday 26th August 2014

Background

2013 saw this place only betting idea of mine profit by about 45 points. That’s a decent return given the short odds which prevail in place only betting markets.

Follow these steps below

1) the races listed here are chosen from www.racingpost.com because they feature ” apparent ” 2 horse races. This is in inverted commas because we are using the betting forecast which is simply just a journalist’s idea of how the race will fare.

2) we back in the to place only market at www.betfair.com , to Betfair SP, the bookmaker’s favourite in these races. I tried a number of different strategies such as following the betting forecast favourite, or 2nd favourite, and found over time that the bookmaker favourite placed 80+% of the time.

3) we back in the to place only market at odds of between 1.1 and 1.5 only. Anything under 1.1 is simply not worth it. A cut off point of 1.5 ensures the strike rate does not diminish as we move to higher place only odds.

Yesterday

7 315 chepstow Betting forecast: 5/4 Shahah, 15/8 Opportuna, 5/1 Encore L´amour, 3rd 1.23
7 220 cartmel Betting forecast: Evs Always Archie, 6/4 Mawaqeet, 10/1 Tokyo Brown, 2nd 1.21
8 230 downpatrick Betting forecast: 6/4 Captain Carleton, 6/4 Landau, 6/1 Burnt Sienna, 1st 1.09
7 600 downpatrick Betting forecast: 6/4 Young Dillon, 2/1 Angus Milan, 8/1 Amillionmemories, 2nd 1.67
7 240 epsom Betting forecast: 15/8 Castorienta, 3/1 Inciting Incident, 7/1 The Dandy Yank, 4th 1.67
7 340 warwick Betting forecast: 9/4 Goldream, 5/2 Ninjago, 5/1 Rex Imperator, 2nd and 3rd 1.92 and 1.98

3 selections over 1.5 yesterday

Today

7 740 ballinrobe Betting forecast: 10/11 Rough Justice, 2/1 Definite Ruby, 9/2 Please Talk,
5 340 ripon Betting forecast: 5/4 Snap Shots, 11/8 Zeb Un Nisa, 13/2 Miss Mullberry,
11 455 sedgefield Betting forecast: 2/1 Admiral Hawke, 5/2 Questioning, 11/2 Apollo Eleven,