Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Monday 24th November 2014

Each way betting – a background How do I go about my each-way selection process? In this post you will see a list of races which all have one thing in common. They are all 8/9 runner races as this is the shortest field which pays out for horses finishing 1st, 2nd and 3rd . By selecting an 8/9 runner race, you immediately put the probabilities of selecting a horse to finish in the top 3, in your favour. Remember that your objective is to find a horse to finish in the top 3, with a winner being an obvious bonus. 1) we select only from 8/9 runner races 2) we make 2 selections. The first is called the Usual selection .

A usual selection is a horse who is near the head of the betting forecast and who looks like an obvious selection to finish in the first 3 at least. We then make a speculative selection. This horse is likely to be a bigger price and is selected because horse racing is inherently unpredictable and races are won by other -than the market leaders We want to be able to cover a bigger priced horse who might surprise.

On the 3rd May 2014, I selected just such a horse, Run with Pride, and he won at Betfair SP odds of 142, and paid 12 to place. 3) which brings me to my 3rd point. Use Betfair Sp for your win and place only bets . Why? Well Run with Pride won at odds of 142 using Betfair SP, and returned at only 33/1 with the bookmakers.

This is the background behind the selections you will find here. Make sure you check the place onlyterms at www.betfair.com. Some races may only pay out on 2 places. We want to see 3 places as it increases our probabilities of getting a return.

I left you with a couple of winners and a couple of placers , one at 20/1 on the 14th November.

Yesterday

 

1235 kempton Betting forecast: 1/2 West Wizard, 5/1 Alphabet Bay, 11/2 Arzal, 12/1 Uptendownone, 16/1 Vodka ´n Tonic, 33/1 Empty The Tank, 40/1 Tiger Feat, 50/1 Gamain, 100/1 Bay Fortuna.
usual Arzal -1st 7.57 win and 1.23 place
speculative Vodka n Tonic – 5th 50

255 ludlow Betting forecast: 6/4 Buddy Love, 3/1 Royal Palladium, 6/1 Shinooki, 7/1 Mac Le Couteau, 10/1 Khazium, 10/1 Who Am I, 20/1 Fishing Bridge, 20/1 Moorlands George.
usual Shinooki  – 2nd 9.6 win and 2.24 place
speculative Who am I – faller 60.37
335 wolves Betting forecast: 13/8 Alba Verde, 11/4 Rutherglen, 7/1 Underwritten, 9/1 Call Me Pj, 10/1 Jacobs Son, 10/1 Toptempo, 10/1 Uncle Bernie, 25/1 Bathwick Street.
usual Rutherglen  – 2nd 2.45 win and 1.36 place
speculative Jacobs son – 7th 23.37

Today

1230 lingfield Betting forecast: 6/4 The Green Ogre, 3/1 Golan To War, 4/1 Haatefina, 5/1 Allthegear No Idea, 33/1 Walk Of Gleams, 50/1 Primo Rossi, 50/1 Us Et Garry, 100/1 Derryogue, 100/1 Ethelred.
usual Haatefina
speculative Walk of Gleams
220 sedgefield Betting forecast: 2/1 Amir Pasha, 4/1 Captain Sharpe, 11/2 Stanley Bridge, 6/1 Orchard Road, 8/1 Amtired, 9/1 Sea Rocket, 10/1 Ardesia, 12/1 Casual Cavalier.
usual Stanley Bridge
speculative Sea Rocket
320 sedgefield Betting forecast: 6/4 Legacy Phoenix, 7/2 John Williams, 5/1 Hillier, 10/1 Guns At Midnight, 11/1 Cuddys Well, 14/1 Broadway Belle, 14/1 Louloumills, 14/1 Perseid, 16/1 William Russell.
usual Hillier
speculative Broadway Belle
1210 sthl Betting forecast: 9/4 Company Secretary, 7/2 It´s All A Game, 5/1 Jonnie Skull, 6/1 Angelena Ballerina, 7/1 Poor Duke, 9/1 Supa Seeker, 12/1 La Danza, 25/1 Mazovian, 33/1 Moxey.
usual Jonnie Skull
speculative La Danza

110 sthl Betting forecast: 6/5 Wu Zetian, 9/4 Whispering Star, 8/1 Lendal Bridge, 10/1 Disco Dale, 14/1 Dark Diamond, 16/1 Danzki, 20/1 Major Rowan, 50/1 Sea Whisper.
usual Lendal Bridge
speculative Dark Diamond