Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Wednesday 25th November 2015

Each way betting – a background How do I go about my each-way selection process? In this post you will see a list of races which all have one thing in common. They are all 8/9 runner races as this is the shortest field which pays out for horses finishing 1st, 2nd and 3rd . By selecting an 8/9 runner race, you immediately put the probabilities of selecting a horse to finish in the top 3, in your favour. Remember that your objective is to find a horse to finish in the top 3, with a winner being an obvious bonus. 1) we select only from 8/9 runner races 2) we make 2 selections. The first is called the Usual selection .

A usual selection is a horse who is near the head of the betting forecast and who looks like an obvious selection to finish in the first 3 at least. We then make a speculative selection. This horse is likely to be a bigger price and is selected because horse racing is inherently unpredictable and races are won by other -than the market leaders We want to be able to cover a bigger priced horse who might surprise.

On the 3rd May 2014, I selected just such a horse, Run with Pride, and he won at Betfair SP odds of 142, and paid 12 to place. 3) which brings me to my 3rd point. Use Betfair Sp for your win and place only bets . Why? Well Run with Pride won at odds of 142 using Betfair SP, and returned at only 33/1 with the bookmakers.

This is the background behind the selections you will find here. Make sure you check the place onlyterms at www.betfair.com. Some races may only pay out on 2 places. We want to see 3 places as it increases our probabilities of getting a return.

Yesterday

 
245 kempton Betting forecast: 11/4 Risk A Fine, 100/30 Gone Too Far, 4/1 Road To Freedom, 6/1 The Clock Leary, 8/1 Sew On Target, 11/1 Gallery Exhibition, 11/1 Saffron Wells, 16/1 Minellaforleisure.
100 lingfield Betting forecast: 5/2 Jessber´s Dream, 3/1 Happy Diva, 4/1 Midnight Silver, 5/1 Pennywell, 7/1 Lakeshore Lady, 7/1 Rosygo, 25/1 Twenty Eight Guns, 66/1 Ruby Susie.
usual Midnight silver  3rd 3.45 win and 1.32 place- 
speculative Lakeshore lady – 4th 25
210 sthl Betting forecast: 11/8 Countermand, 7/4 Miss Giler, 3/1 Rebel Collins, 14/1 Burner, 33/1 Thou Swell, 50/1 Second Guest, 100/1 Duke Of Hanover, 100/1 Orinocco, 100/1 Spirit Rapping.
usual Rebel Collins  – 2nd 3.64 win and 1.14 place
speculative Burner – 4th 9.84

Today

805 dundalk Betting forecast: 1/2 Facade, 6/1 Primal Snow, 13/2 Eagle Valley, 10/1 Lady Fandango, 10/1 Perfect Fit, 14/1 Mystical Child, 20/1 Carraigin Aonair, 25/1 Feruzzi, 33/1 Cutting Corners.
usual Eagle Valley
speculative Perfect Fit
1240 fontwell Betting forecast: Evs Bigmartre, 5/2 Clondaw Cian, 11/2 Blue April, 11/1 Spring Wolf, 14/1 Dukes Den, 25/1 Due South, 25/1 Grayhawk, 25/1 Threebarmymen, 33/1 Itsaboutime.
usual Clondaw Clan
speculative Spring Wolf
1200 lingfield Betting forecast: 11/8 Always Welcome, 11/4 Next Stage, 13/2 Nachi Falls, 12/1 Sacred Trust, 14/1 Beauty Night, 14/1 Rain In The Face, 14/1 Trespassed, 18/1 Like No Other, 33/1 Lugano.
usual Next Stage
speculative Sacred trust
200 lingfield Betting forecast: 13/8 Seychelloise, 9/2 New Rich, 11/2 Pettochside, 7/1 Birdie Queen, 12/1 Rigolleto, 14/1 Billy Red, 14/1 Dishy Guru, 14/1 Ripinto, 16/1 Zipedeedodah.
usual Pettochside
speculative Billy Red
1250 wetherby Betting forecast: 1/2 Draytonian, 5/1 Return Flight, 13/2 Bertalus, 8/1 Tara The Tiger, 20/1 Captain Redbeard, 20/1 Jellied Eel Jack, 50/1 Exclusive Tara, 100/1 Bertielicious, 100/1 Wayward Sun.
usual Berlatus
speculative Tara the Tiger