A quick reminder, we place back the bookmaker’s favourite and not the Betfair favourite. This is an important distinction as quite often these are 2 different horses.

Background

2013 saw this place only betting idea of mine profit by about 45 points. That’s a decent return given the short odds which prevail in place only betting markets.

Follow these steps below

1) the races listed here are chosen from www.racingpost.com because they feature ” apparent ” 2 horse races. This is in inverted commas because we are using the betting forecast which is simply just a journalist’s idea of how the race will fare.

2) we back in the to place only market at www.betfair.com , to Betfair SP, the bookmaker’s favourite in these races. I tried a number of different strategies such as following the betting forecast favourite, or 2nd favourite, and found over time that the bookmaker favourite placed 80+% of the time.

3) we back in the to place only market at odds of between 1.1 and 1.5 only. Anything under 1.1 is simply not worth it. A cut off point of 1.5 ensures the strike rate does not diminish as we move to higher place only odds.

Yesterday

5 640 nmkt Betting forecast: 6/4 Shawaahid, 9/4 Carrington, 11/2 Justice Angel, 1st 1.45
7 740 nmkt Betting forecast: 11/10 Mark Hopkins, 7/4 Mishghar, 11/2 Fast Pick, 1st 1.37
3 315 uttoxeter Betting forecast: 4/5 Weather Babe, 6/4 Volcanic, 7/1 Go On Henry. 1st 1.28
8 730 york Betting forecast: Evs Crystal Zvezda, 3/1 Pamona, 6/1 French Dressing, 2nd 1.49

Today

7 205 ascot Betting forecast: 11/8 Besharah, 3/1 Whatdoiwantthatfor, 13/2 Salvo,
4 600 lingfield Betting forecast: 1/2 Callac, 2/1 Mountain Music, 6/1 Anna Dolce,
9 225 wexford Betting forecast: 2/5 Georgia On My Mind, 11/4 Faseeha, 16/1 For Goodness Sake,