Racing Testing LabA quick reminder, we place back the bookmaker’s favourite and not the Betfair favourite. This is an important distinction as quite often these are 2 different horses.
Background
2013 saw this place only betting idea of mine profit by about 45 points. That’s a decent return given the short odds which prevail in place only betting markets.
Follow these steps below
1) the races listed here are chosen from www.racingpost.com because they feature ” apparent ” 2 horse races. This is in inverted commas because we are using the betting forecast which is simply just a journalist’s idea of how the race will fare.
2) we back in the to place only market at www.betfair.com , to Betfair SP, the bookmaker’s favourite in these races. I tried a number of different strategies such as following the betting forecast favourite, or 2nd favourite, and found over time that the bookmaker favourite placed 80+% of the time.
3) we back in the to place only market at odds of between 1.1 and 1.5 only. Anything under 1.1 is simply not worth it. A cut off point of 1.5 ensures the strike rate does not diminish as we move to higher place only odds.
Yesterday
4 1255 doncaster Betting forecast: Evs Three Kingdoms, 5/4 Solar Impulse, 8/1 Mister Spingsprong, 1st 1.13
7 205 doncaster Betting forecast: 2/1 Analifet, 5/2 Princess Leya, 11/2 Intense Tango, 3rd 1.98
Today
15 110 leop Betting forecast: 7/4 Uncle Danny, 9/4 Gladiator King, 6/1 Utmost Zeal,
6 245 leop Betting forecast: 8/11 Hurricane Fly, 6/4 Jezki, 12/1 Arctic Fire,
8 315 leop Betting forecast: 2/1 No More Heroes, 9/4 Windsor Park, 9/2 Martello Tower,
9 405 sedgefield Betting forecast: 15/8 Astaroland, 11/4 Discoverie, 5/1 Dry Your Eyes,