A quick reminder, we place back the bookmaker’s favourite and not the Betfair favourite. This is an important distinction as quite often these are 2 different horses.

Background

2013 saw this place only betting idea of mine profit by about 45 points. That’s a decent return given the short odds which prevail in place only betting markets.

Follow these steps below

1) the races listed here are chosen from www.racingpost.com because they feature ” apparent ” 2 horse races. This is in inverted commas because we are using the betting forecast which is simply just a journalist’s idea of how the race will fare.

2) we back in the to place only market at www.betfair.com , to Betfair SP, the bookmaker’s favourite in these races. I tried a number of different strategies such as following the betting forecast favourite, or 2nd favourite, and found over time that the bookmaker favourite placed 80+% of the time.

3) we back in the to place only market at odds of between 1.1 and 1.5 only. Anything under 1.1 is simply not worth it. A cut off point of 1.5 ensures the strike rate does not diminish as we move to higher place only odds.

 Yesterday

6 735 dundalk Betting forecast: 15/8 The Happy Prince, 9/4 Queen Nefertiti, 9/2 Postulation, 3rd 1.72
6 210 perth Betting forecast: 2/7 Tara Mist, 7/2 Donna´s Pride, 16/1 Ceithre Delta, 1st 1.05
4 455 plumpton Betting forecast: 11/10 Blue Bear, 11/8 Thats My Rabbit, 7/1 Dire Straits, 2 horse race
5 525 plumpton Betting forecast: 13/8 June French, 15/8 My Silver Cloud, 11/2 Golanova, 5th 1.74
5 300 sandown Betting forecast: 4/5 Commemorative, 9/4 Cape Clear Island, 5/1 Snoano, 4th 1.26

 Today

3 530 doncaster Betting forecast: 1/4 Secateur, 7/2 Balmusette, 33/1 Century Fighter.
7 600 doncaster Betting forecast: 9/4 Intisaab, 9/4 Jubilee Brig, 11/2 Mon Brav,
8 415 leic Betting forecast: 11/8 Aljamaaheer, 7/2 Coulsty, 7/1 Intransigent,
16 240 limerick Betting forecast: 8/11 Back On Top, 9/4 Kissed By Angels, 7/1 Rivers Of Babylon
10 235 sandown Betting forecast: 5/2 Al Ferof, 5/2 Menorah, 13/2 Argocat
6 535 sandown Betting forecast: 15/8 Polly Peachum, 2/1 Southfield Vic, 4/1 Bayan
4 745 wolves Betting forecast: 4/5 Rembrandt Van Rijn, 2/1 Monasada, 5/1 Ledbury,