Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Friday 24th October 2014

Each way betting – a background How do I go about my each-way selection process? In this post you will see a list of races which all have one thing in common. They are all 8/9 runner races as this is the shortest field which pays out for horses finishing 1st, 2nd and 3rd . By selecting an 8/9 runner race, you immediately put the probabilities of selecting a horse to finish in the top 3, in your favour. Remember that your objective is to find a horse to finish in the top 3, with a winner being an obvious bonus. 1) we select only from 8/9 runner races 2) we make 2 selections. The first is called the Usual selection .

A usual selection is a horse who is near the head of the betting forecast and who looks like an obvious selection to finish in the first 3 at least. We then make a speculative selection. This horse is likely to be a bigger price and is selected because horse racing is inherently unpredictable and races are won by other -than the market leaders We want to be able to cover a bigger priced horse who might surprise.

On the 3rd May 2014, I selected just such a horse, Run with Pride, and he won at Betfair SP odds of 142, and paid 12 to place. 3) which brings me to my 3rd point. Use Betfair Sp for your win and place only bets . Why? Well Run with Pride won at odds of 142 using Betfair SP, and returned at only 33/1 with the bookmakers.

This is the background behind the selections you will find here. Make sure you check the place onlyterms at www.betfair.com. Some races may only pay out on 2 places. We want to see 3 places as it increases our probabilities of getting a return.

Yesterday

250 carlisle Betting forecast: 6/4 Montoya´s Son, 4/1 Brother Scott, 5/1 Purcell´s Bridge, 8/1 The Magic Bishop, 10/1 Frizzo, 12/1 Blazin White Face, 14/1 My Friend George, 16/1 Work Boy, 20/1 Boric.
usual Purcell’s Bridge  – 4th 3.82
speculative Blazin White Face – pulled up 37.1
640 kempton Betting forecast: 5/2 Hawkin, 3/1 Wiener Valkyrie, 5/1 Its Lady Mary, 5/1 Roxy Star, 7/1 Melodious, 12/1 Farendole, 12/1 Perfect Orange, 20/1 Cascades, 20/1 Mandria.
usual Roxy Star  – 1st 7.6 win and 2.32 place
speculative Perfect Orange – 3rd 28.69 win and 5.35 place

210 ludlow Betting forecast: 7/4 Nellie The Elegant, 4/1 Mabdhool, 9/2 Appellez Baileys, 8/1 Love Tangle, 8/1 Taanif, 10/1 Drifter, 14/1 Craftybird, 33/1 Earl´s Bridge, 33/1 Symphony Of Pearls.
usual Love Triangle – 4th 8.2

speculative Crafty Bird – 3rd 14 win and 4 place
440 sthl Betting forecast: 7/4 Susie Sheep, 7/2 Atlantic Gold, 9/2 Magna Cartor, 6/1 Rustamabad, 10/1 Arctic Chief, 12/1 Charlie Cook, 14/1 Smoking Jacket, 25/1 Liro, 66/1 Irish Octave.
usual Rustamabad – 2nd 18.89 win and 3.24 place

speculative Smoking jacket – non runner

315 thurles Betting forecast: 7/4 Lone Star, 3/1 Pershing, 6/1 Brog Deas Nua, 8/1 Drop The Subject, 8/1 King Schultz, 8/1 Trade Marked, 14/1 Our Kieran, 20/1 Mustadrik.
usual Brog deas nua  – 2nd 6.62 win and 2.1 place
speculative Trade Marked – 5th 19.5
525 thurles Betting forecast: 11/10 Sub Lieutenant, 4/1 Hurricane Darwin, 5/1 Exxaro, 6/1 Glenstile, 10/1 Burren Barley, 10/1 Iamtoldiamgrand, 20/1 Bohernagore, 25/1 Turtle Daisy, 33/1 Lazy Bones.
usual Exxaro  – 2nd 5.44 win and 1.48 place
speculative Iamtoldiamgrand – non runner

Today

245 newbury Betting forecast: 3/1 Copperopolis, 3/1 Smart, 7/2 Parish, 4/1 Perrault, 8/1 Milky Way, 14/1 Major Mac, 33/1 Fidelity, 33/1 Idle Talker, 33/1 Knight Music.
usual Perrault
speculative Major Mac
320 newbury Betting forecast: 11/4 St Brelades Bay, 7/2 Vegas Rebel, 5/1 Hatchet Harry, 11/2 Billyoakes, 13/2 Inniscastle Lad, 9/1 Showing Character, 12/1 Grenade, 14/1 Pillar Box.
usual Hatchet Harry
speculative Showing character
820 wolves Betting forecast: 5/2 Brosnan, 7/2 Classic Villager, 7/2 Life Less Ordinary, 4/1 Cocker, 10/1 Moydin, 16/1 Goolagong Girl, 25/1 Inflexiball, 25/1 Poetic License.
usual Cocker
speculative Goolagong girl