Racing Testing Lab

Each way betting – a background How do I go about my each-way selection process? In this post you will see a list of races which all have one thing in common. They are all 8/9 runner races as this is the shortest field which pays out for horses finishing 1st, 2nd and 3rd . By selecting an 8/9 runner race, you immediately put the probabilities of selecting a horse to finish in the top 3, in your favour. Remember that your objective is to find a horse to finish in the top 3, with a winner being an obvious bonus. 1) we select only from 8/9 runner races 2) we make 2 selections. The first is called the Usual selection .

A usual selection is a horse who is near the head of the betting forecast and who looks like an obvious selection to finish in the first 3 at least. We then make a speculative selection. This horse is likely to be a bigger price and is selected because horse racing is inherently unpredictable and races are won by other -than the market leaders We want to be able to cover a bigger priced horse who might surprise.

On the 3rd May 2014, I selected just such a horse, Run with Pride, and he won at Betfair SP odds of 142, and paid 12 to place. 3) which brings me to my 3rd point. Use Betfair Sp for your win and place only bets . Why? Well Run with Pride won at odds of 142 using Betfair SP, and returned at only 33/1 with the bookmakers.

This is the background behind the selections you will find here. Make sure you check the place onlyterms at www.betfair.com. Some races may only pay out on 2 places. We want to see 3 places as it increases our probabilities of getting a return.

I left you with a couple of winners and a couple of placers , one at 20/1 on the 14th November.

I will leave out results today as time is short.

Yesterday

755 bath Betting forecast: 7/4 Akavit, 4/1 Lorelei, 5/1 Sonic Rainbow, 11/2 Ultima Ora, 7/1 Smugglers Lane, 14/1 New Abbey Dancer, 16/1 Paco´s Dream, 25/1 Cahar Fad.
usual Ultima Ora 3rd 8.2 win and 2.63 place
speculative New Abbey Dancer 6th 18.62

220 perth Betting forecast: 1/6 Skilled, 12/1 Abyaat, 12/1 Solway Prince, 16/1 Amaze, 16/1 Naburn, 33/1 Neworld, 33/1 So Satisfied, 100/1 Jackofhearts.
usual Abyaat neck 2nd 14 win and 1.74 place
speculative Naburn 5th 18.5

525 perth Betting forecast: 7/4 Eshtiaal, 7/2 One For Hocky, 11/2 Solway Dandy, 6/1 Apachee Prince, 11/1 Badged, 11/1 Pulpitarian, 12/1 Dutch Canyon, 16/1 Sendiym.
usual Solway Dandy 1st 11 win and 2.29 place
speculative Badged 5th 21

340 warwick Betting forecast: 8/11 Mercers Court, 7/2 Bilbrook Blaze, 5/1 Wings Attract, 10/1 Mr Edge, 16/1 The Big Dipper, 33/1 Wingers Diggers, 40/1 Cool Fusion, 50/1 Betty Borgia, 50/1 Showbiz Floozy.
usual Wings Attract 2nd 12.5 win and 1.93 place
speculative The Big Dipper 3rd 17.16 win and 2.96 place

The 1/6 shot beat us by a fecking neck yesterday. If there’s one thing I hate more than politicians, it’s a 14 odds horse being beaten a neck by a 1/6 shot. Another big priced winner though for the 3rd consecutive day I think it is.

Today

545 kilbeggan Betting forecast: 2/1 Fiosrach, 9/4 Mystic Princess, 4/1 Rufino, 8/1 Aunt Alice, 14/1 Fuego Negro, 14/1 Nidhaam, 20/1 Esta Quercus, 20/1 Skellig Rocks, 25/1 Mighty Fly.
usual Rufino
speculative Aunt Alice
745 kilbeggan Betting forecast: 7/4 Mallards In Flight, 7/2 Ravished, 6/1 Heavenly Brook, 6/1 Zekarya, 10/1 Playtime Ben, 12/1 London Bridge, 14/1 Headford Flyer, 14/1 Loch Dara, 20/1 Harangue.
usual Heavenly Brook
speculative London Bridge