Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Friday 24th April 2015

I wrote an article for my eletter on this subject, focussing on Banker Bets and showing you how we can profit from them.

I’ll list some apparent “bankers” in this post, and time permitting, will try to do this daily. I try to look for 1.1 odds or higher. The goal is to win back your initial stake and bank that immediately, then play on, banking profits every £10 or so.

This is not a strategy where I’m trying to create the biggest odds returns. I want a “banker”, a bet which is obvious.

Bankers and Blowouts – the mini-DRT angle.

www.drt.club is my trading service where I do all of my football research. I have noticed that these bankers, whilst sometimes frustrating us with score draws and throwing away 2-0 leads, rarely lose matches. How can you profit? Well are you familiar with football trading? That is, reacting to how a match unfolds in-play? If you are then you would have taken on faith the fact that these bankers rarely lose, and layed Dundee in play , when they were 1-3 up to bankers Aberdeen. Final score ( as you see below), 3-3. How about more frustrating bar stewards like Club Brugge the other day against Mechelen.

Staying with our premis that Bankers rarely lose, what could you have done if Mechelen ( as they did) take the lead? Lay Mechelen! Better yet, what if the match was still 0-1 coming to 90 minutes? Lay Mechelen at lower odds for potentially greater profit! You know what happened next, I am sure. Club Brugge equalised in the 90th minute.

I have already mentioned the idea of laying a team 2-0 up, to lock in profit. Consider the above elements too , in order to maximise the premis that Bankers rarely lose.

Just an added note regarding staking. If the strike rate remains as high as it is, I would recommend staying with level stakes, but re-calculating every 20 bets  which would have produced a bank of 747 pounds from an initial 100 pounds in November. Increasing the frequency to re-calculating 10% of the betting bank every 10 bets does extract a little more profit.

Plenty to ponder there. If you increase the % of bank bet, of course, then things really start getting exciting ( but ever the cautious, I’d have to warn you that it would be a big fall from grace if we hit a losing run)

At this juncture, level stakes is the only realistic staking option as some bets kick off at the same time. If you wanted other options, then select one bet at one time, as long as the next bet began after the 1st bet ended. This way you could employ “reactive” staking.

By selecting one bet for a specific time, the number of bets reduces from 225 to 137. Is there any advantage in reactive staking? Let’s take a look.

 

http://www.thestakingmachine.com/pro.php is the staking plan of interest, betting 20% of the bank ( as the assumed strike rate will continue to be high), turned 100 pounds on 22 November 2014 into 1356.48 as of today. ( as you can tell I don’t have apound sign on my keyboard lol).

We can employ a higher risk staking I think with assumed higher strike rate strategies. If doing , I would strongly urge you to withdraw initial seed money once the bank has doubled to allow you to employ these higher risk strategies using OPM  – other people’s money.

Yesterday

HJK only managed a 1-1. Still too early in the season for bankers. Napoli and Wolfsburg was a great call with over 2.5 goals. It kind of fit in with Wolfsburg’s need ( and reputation) for goals, and Napoli’s possible replies if the Wolf scored. 2-2 that one ended.

Nishikori is not favourite for Barcelona at 5/6 now Nadal is out. He won easily. Ferrer in 2 sets – not a bother! Monfils was the one that got away . I really should have put him up as a banker. He had a masterful Monte Carlo and has carried that form over, and demolished Youzhny.

Those words” Fognoni is a bit of an unknown to me” suggested leaving Nadal’s match alone. Nadal lost . This is why I tend to stick to football. With football, as a by product of www.drt.club, I am in the trenches daily. I know the form, I know the teams, I know the players.  Makarova won in 2 sets.

No official banker bets yet for tennis because I want to see how good I am at weeding out the Fognoni type matches where the players are unknowns, and indeed picking more Monfils type matches.

Today

Some likely banker candidates today in the Football, includes my close showbiz pals NEC Nijmegen, who simply keep winning despite having won the title yonks ago!

Sorry I’m late. www.soccerstats.com was down and that is my key website for football . It’s mostly Eerste Divisie and Irish Premiership and First Division today .

Will NEC Nijmegen continue their 15 match winning streak, despite NOT NEEDING A WIN!! They are away to Den Bosch.

Malmo are away to Falkenbergs and the season is far too young to put up Malmo, despite scoring 3 and 5 in the last 2 head to heads against this lot. It does appeal for the speculator but is not a banker.

Roda v Jong Twente have both 71% over 2.5 goals stats. A good percentage.

Marseille are in poor form and at 1.5 today against Lorient cannot be relied upon.They may get away with it against a poor Lorient.

Finally Braga are at home to Belenenses and are tough to score more than one goal against. Braga play an away side with only one win away v top 9.

No bankers today. I have been working on tomorrow’s inplay coupon and there are 2 bankers there already. If I was to speculate today, I would back NEC Nijmegen to see a spectacular season off with another win. I would also back Braga too given they have kept 9 clean sheets at home .

NO OFFICIAL BANKERS

No time to do the tennis today thanks to www.soccerstats.com being down.