Racing Testing Lab

A quick reminder, we place back the bookmaker’s favourite and not the Betfair favourite. This is an important distinction as quite often these are 2 different horses.

Background

2013 saw this place only betting idea of mine profit by about 45 points. That’s a decent return given the short odds which prevail in place only betting markets.

Follow these steps below

1) the races listed here are chosen from www.racingpost.com because they feature ” apparent ” 2 horse races. This is in inverted commas because we are using the betting forecast which is simply just a journalist’s idea of how the race will fare.

2) we back in the to place only market at www.betfair.com , to Betfair SP, the bookmaker’s favourite in these races. I tried a number of different strategies such as following the betting forecast favourite, or 2nd favourite, and found over time that the bookmaker favourite placed 80+% of the time.

3) we back in the to place only market at odds of between 1.1 and 1.5 only. Anything under 1.1 is simply not worth it. A cut off point of 1.5 ensures the strike rate does not diminish as we move to higher place only odds.

 Yesterday

4 705 sthl Betting forecast: 6/4 Man Look, 6/4 Quest For Wonder, 7/2 High Intensity, 2nd 1.13
4 515 tipp Betting forecast: 6/4 Hoppala, 6/4 Washington Dc, 4/1 Birdcage, 1st 1.12
6 615 tipp Betting forecast: 4/5 King Of Aragon, 9/4 Jaleo, 10/1 Creative Talent, 1st 1.1
10 140 warwick Betting forecast: 5/2 Bold Duke, 5/2 What A Jewel, 6/1 She´s Late, 3rd 1.6
3 310 warwick Betting forecast: 1/2 Pumped Up Kicks, 15/8 Kadalkin, 16/1 Trillerin Minella. 1st 1.13
9 440 warwick Betting forecast: 5/4 For Instance, 7/4 Petrou, 9/2 Threebarmymen, 1st 1.2

 Today

6 735 donc Betting forecast: 15/8 The Happy Prince, 9/4 Queen Nefertiti, 9/2 Postulation,
6 210 perth Betting forecast: 2/7 Tara Mist, 7/2 Donna´s Pride, 16/1 Ceithre Delta,
4 455 plumpton Betting forecast: 11/10 Blue Bear, 11/8 Thats My Rabbit, 7/1 Dire Straits,
5 525 plumpton Betting forecast: 13/8 June French, 15/8 My Silver Cloud, 11/2 Golanova,
5 300 sandown Betting forecast: 4/5 Commemorative, 9/4 Cape Clear Island, 5/1 Snoano,