Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Tuesday 23rd September 2014

Each way betting – a background How do I go about my each-way selection process? In this post you will see a list of races which all have one thing in common. They are all 8/9 runner races as this is the shortest field which pays out for horses finishing 1st, 2nd and 3rd . By selecting an 8/9 runner race, you immediately put the probabilities of selecting a horse to finish in the top 3, in your favour. Remember that your objective is to find a horse to finish in the top 3, with a winner being an obvious bonus. 1) we select only from 8/9 runner races 2) we make 2 selections. The first is called the Usual selection .

A usual selection is a horse who is near the head of the betting forecast and who looks like an obvious selection to finish in the first 3 at least. We then make a speculative selection. This horse is likely to be a bigger price and is selected because horse racing is inherently unpredictable and races are won by other -than the market leaders We want to be able to cover a bigger priced horse who might surprise.

On the 3rd May 2014, I selected just such a horse, Run with Pride, and he won at Betfair SP odds of 142, and paid 12 to place. 3) which brings me to my 3rd point. Use Betfair Sp for your win and place only bets . Why? Well Run with Pride won at odds of 142 using Betfair SP, and returned at only 33/1 with the bookmakers.

This is the background behind the selections you will find here. Make sure you check the place onlyterms at www.betfair.com. Some races may only pay out on 2 places. We want to see 3 places as it increases our probabilities of getting a return.

Yesterday

420 hamilton Betting forecast: 6/4 Stetchworth, 11/4 Park Place, 11/2 L´inganno Felice, 8/1 Archipeligo, 8/1 So It´s War, 16/1 Hello Paris, 16/1 Sirdal, 25/1 Miguela Mcguire.
usual L’inganno Felice  – 3rd 13.18 win and 1.84 place

speculative Hello Paris – 7th 353
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520 hamilton Betting forecast: 9/4 Blue Sonic, 4/1 Dark Crystal, 11/2 Spavento, 6/1 Lil Sophella, 7/1 Outlaw Torn, 12/1 Last Destination, 12/1 Raise A Billion, 16/1 Rioja Day, 33/1 Smirfy´s Silver.
usual Dark Crystal  – 3rd 6.45 win and 2.11 place

speculative Last Destination – 6th 24.07

Today

610 ballinrobe Betting forecast: 9/4 The Mooch, 11/4 Primroseandblue, 4/1 Tulsa Jack, 9/2 The Black Russian, 12/1 Empresario, 12/1 Via Del Corso, 20/1 Green Thirty Two, 33/1 All The Aces.
usual Tulsa Jack
speculative Empresario

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350 newcastle Betting forecast: 9/4 Wedding Wish, 5/2 Two Smart, 7/2 Brisk, 9/2 Rememberance Day, 5/1 Gharaaneej, 50/1 Redalani, 66/1 Magical Mischief, 100/1 Van Mildert.
usual Rememberance Day
speculative Gharaaneej

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450 newcastle Betting forecast: 5/4 Moscato, 5/1 Dr Irv, 15/2 Mason Hindmarsh, 8/1 Mustamir, 9/1 Caledonia, 10/1 Annaluna, 12/1 Bell Weir, 14/1 Attention Seaker, 25/1 Waterclock.
usual Mustamir
speculative Bell Weir

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200 nottingham Betting forecast: 5/2 Strategise, 11/4 Essaka, 9/2 Smart Stepper, 11/2 Jimmy´s Girl, 9/1 Toytown, 12/1 Penalty Scorer, 14/1 Emilys Girl, 16/1 Pancake Day, 25/1 Wiggle.
usual Jimmy’s Girl
speculative Emily’s Girl

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405 nottingham Betting forecast: 3/1 Hesbaan, 100/30 Daisy Boy, 7/2 Bahamian C, 5/1 Karam Albaari, 9/1 Watt Broderick, 9/1 Zafranagar, 10/1 Dalaki, 25/1 Northern Star.
usual Karam Albaari
speculative Zafranagar

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