Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Thursday 23rd October 2014

Each way betting – a background How do I go about my each-way selection process? In this post you will see a list of races which all have one thing in common. They are all 8/9 runner races as this is the shortest field which pays out for horses finishing 1st, 2nd and 3rd . By selecting an 8/9 runner race, you immediately put the probabilities of selecting a horse to finish in the top 3, in your favour. Remember that your objective is to find a horse to finish in the top 3, with a winner being an obvious bonus. 1) we select only from 8/9 runner races 2) we make 2 selections. The first is called the Usual selection .

A usual selection is a horse who is near the head of the betting forecast and who looks like an obvious selection to finish in the first 3 at least. We then make a speculative selection. This horse is likely to be a bigger price and is selected because horse racing is inherently unpredictable and races are won by other -than the market leaders We want to be able to cover a bigger priced horse who might surprise.

On the 3rd May 2014, I selected just such a horse, Run with Pride, and he won at Betfair SP odds of 142, and paid 12 to place. 3) which brings me to my 3rd point. Use Betfair Sp for your win and place only bets . Why? Well Run with Pride won at odds of 142 using Betfair SP, and returned at only 33/1 with the bookmakers.

This is the background behind the selections you will find here. Make sure you check the place onlyterms at www.betfair.com. Some races may only pay out on 2 places. We want to see 3 places as it increases our probabilities of getting a return.

Yesterday

515 fontwell Betting forecast: 15/8 Popular Opinion, 2/1 Fountains Blossom, 5/2 Dusky Legend, 16/1 Lanta´s Legacy, 16/1 Redanna, 20/1 Leyla´s Gift, 40/1 Ley Lady Grey, 100/1 Catcharose.
usual Dusky Legend   -1st 2.51 win and 1.25 place
speculative Redanna – 6th 9.2

625 kempton Betting forecast: 8/11 Moiety, 5/1 Nelson´s Pride, 7/1 Kokovoko, 10/1 Templar Boy, 14/1 Man Of Music, 16/1 Prominna, 20/1 Wattaboutsteve, 33/1 Duke Of Dunton.
usual Kokovoko  – 3rd 5 win and 1.72 place
speculative Man of Music – 6th 32
525 nmkt Betting forecast: 7/4 Temptress, 7/2 No Poppy, 6/1 Auction, 6/1 Buredyma, 7/1 Fruit Pastille, 14/1 Alexandrakollontai, 16/1 Acclio, 16/1 Boonga Roogeta.
usual Auction  – 3rd 5.8 win and 2.05 place
speculative Alexandrakollontai – 7th 20.31

Today

250 carlisle Betting forecast: 6/4 Montoya´s Son, 4/1 Brother Scott, 5/1 Purcell´s Bridge, 8/1 The Magic Bishop, 10/1 Frizzo, 12/1 Blazin White Face, 14/1 My Friend George, 16/1 Work Boy, 20/1 Boric.
usual Purcell’s Bridge
speculative Blazin White Face
640 kempton Betting forecast: 5/2 Hawkin, 3/1 Wiener Valkyrie, 5/1 Its Lady Mary, 5/1 Roxy Star, 7/1 Melodious, 12/1 Farendole, 12/1 Perfect Orange, 20/1 Cascades, 20/1 Mandria.
usual Roxy Star
speculative Perfect Orange

210 ludlow Betting forecast: 7/4 Nellie The Elegant, 4/1 Mabdhool, 9/2 Appellez Baileys, 8/1 Love Tangle, 8/1 Taanif, 10/1 Drifter, 14/1 Craftybird, 33/1 Earl´s Bridge, 33/1 Symphony Of Pearls.
usual Love Triangle

speculative Crafty Bird
440 sthl Betting forecast: 7/4 Susie Sheep, 7/2 Atlantic Gold, 9/2 Magna Cartor, 6/1 Rustamabad, 10/1 Arctic Chief, 12/1 Charlie Cook, 14/1 Smoking Jacket, 25/1 Liro, 66/1 Irish Octave.
usual Rustamabad

speculative Smoking jacket

315 thurles Betting forecast: 7/4 Lone Star, 3/1 Pershing, 6/1 Brog Deas Nua, 8/1 Drop The Subject, 8/1 King Schultz, 8/1 Trade Marked, 14/1 Our Kieran, 20/1 Mustadrik.
usual Brog deas nua
speculative Trade Marked
525 thurles Betting forecast: 11/10 Sub Lieutenant, 4/1 Hurricane Darwin, 5/1 Exxaro, 6/1 Glenstile, 10/1 Burren Barley, 10/1 Iamtoldiamgrand, 20/1 Bohernagore, 25/1 Turtle Daisy, 33/1 Lazy Bones.
usual Exxaro
speculative Iamtoldiamgrand