Racing Testing Lab

Background

2013 saw this place only betting idea of mine profit by about 45 points. That’s a decent return given the short odds which prevail in place only betting markets.

Follow these steps below

1) the races listed here are chosen from www.racingpost.com because they feature ” apparent ” 2 horse races. This is in inverted commas because we are using the betting forecast which is simply just a journalist’s idea of how the race will fare.

2) we back in the to place only market at www.betfair.com , to Betfair SP, the bookmaker’s favourite in these races. I tried a number of different strategies such as following the betting forecast favourite, or 2nd favourite, and found over time that the bookmaker favourite placed 80+% of the time.

3) we back in the to place only market at odds of between 1.1 and 1.5 only. Anything under 1.1 is simply not worth it. A cut off point of 1.5 ensures the strike rate does not diminish as we move to higher place only odds.

Yesterday

5 535 killarney Betting forecast: 15/8 Windward Passage, 9/4 Yes I Am, 5/1 Abushamah, 3rd 1.97
10 450 newcastle Betting forecast: 9/4 Exotic Guest, 3/1 Bonnie Charlie, 6/1 Black Douglas, 3rd 1.43
6 430 nmkt Betting forecast: 8/13 Royal Flag, 6/4 Batrana, 16/1 Frederic 2nd 1.09

Today

9 145 killarney Betting forecast: 4/6 Solatentif, 9/4 Pyromaniac, 8/1 Tempo Mac,
11 600 redcar Betting forecast: 11/10 Bahamian Sunrise, 6/4 Mythmaker, 16/1 Oricano,
9 645 windsor Betting forecast: 6/5 Al Kazeem, 11/4 True Story, 6/1 Bayrir,