Racing Testing Lab

A quick reminder, we place back the bookmaker’s favourite and not the Betfair favourite. This is an important distinction as quite often these are 2 different horses.

Background

2013 saw this place only betting idea of mine profit by about 45 points. That’s a decent return given the short odds which prevail in place only betting markets.

Follow these steps below

1) the races listed here are chosen from www.racingpost.com because they feature ” apparent ” 2 horse races. This is in inverted commas because we are using the betting forecast which is simply just a journalist’s idea of how the race will fare.

2) we back in the to place only market at www.betfair.com , to Betfair SP, the bookmaker’s favourite in these races. I tried a number of different strategies such as following the betting forecast favourite, or 2nd favourite, and found over time that the bookmaker favourite placed 80+% of the time.

3) we back in the to place only market at odds of between 1.1 and 1.5 only. Anything under 1.1 is simply not worth it. A cut off point of 1.5 ensures the strike rate does not diminish as we move to higher place only odds.

 Yesterday

5 320 epsom Betting forecast: 4/5 Christophermarlowe, 6/4 Future Empire, 14/1 Dance Of Fire, 1st 1.24
5 605 ffos Betting forecast: 11/10 Favoured Nation, 3/1 Audacious Plan, 7/1 Barton Rose, 1st 1.48
5 330 perth Betting forecast: 10/11 Caracci Apache, 6/4 Onenightinvienna, 7/1 Uisge Beatha, 1st and 2nd 1.22 1.28
3 525 taunton Betting forecast: 2/5 Dino Mite, 9/4 Andi´amu, 25/1 Hope´s Wishes. 1st 1.06
4 615 taunton Betting forecast: 4/9 Art Mauresque, 5/2 Minella Present, 12/1 Revaader, 1st 1.11

 Today

4 705 sthl Betting forecast: 6/4 Man Look, 6/4 Quest For Wonder, 7/2 High Intensity,
4 515 tipp Betting forecast: 6/4 Hoppala, 6/4 Washington Dc, 4/1 Birdcage,
6 615 tipp Betting forecast: 4/5 King Of Aragon, 9/4 Jaleo, 10/1 Creative Talent,
10 140 warwick Betting forecast: 5/2 Bold Duke, 5/2 What A Jewel, 6/1 She´s Late,
3 310 warwick Betting forecast: 1/2 Pumped Up Kicks, 15/8 Kadalkin, 16/1 Trillerin Minella.
9 440 warwick Betting forecast: 5/4 For Instance, 7/4 Petrou, 9/2 Threebarmymen,