Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Friday 22nd May 2015

Each way betting – a background How do I go about my each-way selection process? In this post you will see a list of races which all have one thing in common. They are all 8/9 runner races as this is the shortest field which pays out for horses finishing 1st, 2nd and 3rd . By selecting an 8/9 runner race, you immediately put the probabilities of selecting a horse to finish in the top 3, in your favour. Remember that your objective is to find a horse to finish in the top 3, with a winner being an obvious bonus. 1) we select only from 8/9 runner races 2) we make 2 selections. The first is called the Usual selection .

A usual selection is a horse who is near the head of the betting forecast and who looks like an obvious selection to finish in the first 3 at least. We then make a speculative selection. This horse is likely to be a bigger price and is selected because horse racing is inherently unpredictable and races are won by other -than the market leaders We want to be able to cover a bigger priced horse who might surprise.

On the 3rd May 2014, I selected just such a horse, Run with Pride, and he won at Betfair SP odds of 142, and paid 12 to place. 3) which brings me to my 3rd point. Use Betfair Sp for your win and place only bets . Why? Well Run with Pride won at odds of 142 using Betfair SP, and returned at only 33/1 with the bookmakers.

This is the background behind the selections you will find here. Make sure you check the place onlyterms at www.betfair.com. Some races may only pay out on 2 places. We want to see 3 places as it increases our probabilities of getting a return.

I left you with a couple of winners and a couple of placers , one at 20/1 on the 14th November.

I will leave out results today as time is short.

Yesterday

 

425 goodwood Betting forecast: 5/4 Jellicle Ball, 11/4 Lady Of Dubai, 6/1 Miss Giler, 8/1 Arethusa, 10/1 Encore L´amour, 14/1 Loaves And Fishes, 33/1 Juventas, 33/1 Lulani.
usual Miss Giller 5th 14.01
speculative EncoreL’amour 2nd 27.6 win and 4.5 place

535 goodwood Betting forecast: 9/4 Lead A Merry Dance, 11/2 Multitask, 11/2 Satchville Flyer, 7/1 Kuala Queen, 7/1 Perfect Pastime, 8/1 Fantasy Justifier, 10/1 Shamahan, 12/1 Captain Ryan, 16/1 Mount Hollow.
usual Multitask 4th 6.4
speculative Fantasy Justifier 5th 4.82

555 sandown Betting forecast: 11/10 Kassia, 7/2 Fashionable Spirit, 8/1 Our Joy, 9/1 Justice Angel, 11/1 Fataawy, 12/1 Modest, 16/1 Bella Imperatrix, 25/1 Mette, 40/1 Katie Canford.
usual Fashionable Spirit 5th 6.33
speculative Modest non runner

230 wetherby Betting forecast: 11/8 Barneys Honour, 6/4 Double Double, 7/1 War Lord, 14/1 Miss Chatterbox, 20/1 Oneofapear, 25/1 Bach To Before, 33/1 Takaatuf, 33/1 War On.
usual War Lord 7th 75
speculative Miss Chatterbox 4th 44

Today

220 goodwood Betting forecast: 8/11 Nelspruit, 5/1 Annie Salts, 11/2 Pass The Moon, 10/1 Secret Tale, 14/1 Freddie Freeloader, 25/1 Intimately, 25/1 Powerful Dream, 33/1 Captain Gerald.
usual Pass the Moon
speculative Freddie Freeloader
435 goodwood Betting forecast: Evs Endless Time, 11/2 Simple Verse, 6/1 Star Rider, 8/1 Spacelab, 10/1 Palerma, 12/1 Missed Call, 16/1 Mercy Me, 25/1 Sweetheart Abbey.
usual Star Rider
speculative Missed Call
200 haydock Betting forecast: 6/4 Life Less Ordinary, 5/1 More Mischief, 13/2 All You, 13/2 Bletchley Park, 8/1 Borak, 12/1 Comanche Chieftain, 12/1 Sunday Royal, 14/1 Glorious Dancer, 14/1 Mythical City.
usual More Mischief
speculative Comanche Chieftan