Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Tuesday 22nd July 2014

Background

2013 saw this place only betting idea of mine profit by about 45 points. That’s a decent return given the short odds which prevail in place only betting markets.

Follow these steps below

1) the races listed here are chosen from www.racingpost.com because they feature ” apparent ” 2 horse races. This is in inverted commas because we are using the betting forecast which is simply just a journalist’s idea of how the race will fare.

2) we back in the to place only market at www.betfair.com , to Betfair SP, the bookmaker’s favourite in these races. I tried a number of different strategies such as following the betting forecast favourite, or 2nd favourite, and found over time that the bookmaker favourite placed 80+% of the time.

3) we back in the to place only market at odds of between 1.1 and 1.5 only. Anything under 1.1 is simply not worth it. A cut off point of 1.5 ensures the strike rate does not diminish as we move to higher place only odds.

Yesterday

7 425 ayr Betting forecast: 13/8 Real Jazz, 5/2 Next Stop, 11/2 Porthos Du Vallon, 2nd 2.04
10 705 ballinrobe Betting forecast: 8/11 Bazaar, 6/4 You´ve Got It, 12/1 Clear Intent 1st 1.11

 

Today

12 545 ballinroe Betting forecast: 11/8 Rae´s Creek, 9/4 Elishpour, 13/2 Idlewild,
8 720 ballinrobe Betting forecast: 5/4 Riverside City, 2/1 Grand Partner, 8/1 Eight Till Late,
5 600 bangor Betting forecast: 6/5 Bonobo, 5/4 Mawaqeet, 10/1 Cockney Class,