Racing Testing LabA quick reminder, we place back the bookmaker’s favourite and not the Betfair favourite. This is an important distinction as quite often these are 2 different horses.
Background
2013 saw this place only betting idea of mine profit by about 45 points. That’s a decent return given the short odds which prevail in place only betting markets.
Follow these steps below
1) the races listed here are chosen from www.racingpost.com because they feature ” apparent ” 2 horse races. This is in inverted commas because we are using the betting forecast which is simply just a journalist’s idea of how the race will fare.
2) we back in the to place only market at www.betfair.com , to Betfair SP, the bookmaker’s favourite in these races. I tried a number of different strategies such as following the betting forecast favourite, or 2nd favourite, and found over time that the bookmaker favourite placed 80+% of the time.
3) we back in the to place only market at odds of between 1.1 and 1.5 only. Anything under 1.1 is simply not worth it. A cut off point of 1.5 ensures the strike rate does not diminish as we move to higher place only odds.
Yesterday
6 440 brighton Betting forecast: 4/5 Taexali, 11/4 Jet Setting, 6/1 Mustn´t Grumble, 1st 1.21
4 335 exeter Betting forecast: 4/6 New Street, 5/2 Lemony Bay, 5/1 Sir Frank Morgan, 2 horse race
5 140 ludlow Betting forecast: 4/6 Set The Trend, 6/4 Upsanddowns, 20/1 Are They Your Own, 1st 1.1
6 415 ludlow Betting forecast: 11/8 Rockiteer, 13/8 Neverownup, 4/1 Joker Choker, 1st 1.23
Today
5 320 epsom Betting forecast: 4/5 Christophermarlowe, 6/4 Future Empire, 14/1 Dance Of Fire,
5 605 ffos Betting forecast: 11/10 Favoured Nation, 3/1 Audacious Plan, 7/1 Barton Rose,
5 330 perth Betting forecast: 10/11 Caracci Apache, 6/4 Onenightinvienna, 7/1 Uisge Beatha,
3 525 taunton Betting forecast: 2/5 Dino Mite, 9/4 Andi´amu, 25/1 Hope´s Wishes.
4 615 taunton Betting forecast: 4/9 Art Mauresque, 5/2 Minella Present, 12/1 Revaader,