Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Friday 21st November 2014

Each way betting – a background How do I go about my each-way selection process? In this post you will see a list of races which all have one thing in common. They are all 8/9 runner races as this is the shortest field which pays out for horses finishing 1st, 2nd and 3rd . By selecting an 8/9 runner race, you immediately put the probabilities of selecting a horse to finish in the top 3, in your favour. Remember that your objective is to find a horse to finish in the top 3, with a winner being an obvious bonus. 1) we select only from 8/9 runner races 2) we make 2 selections. The first is called the Usual selection .

A usual selection is a horse who is near the head of the betting forecast and who looks like an obvious selection to finish in the first 3 at least. We then make a speculative selection. This horse is likely to be a bigger price and is selected because horse racing is inherently unpredictable and races are won by other -than the market leaders We want to be able to cover a bigger priced horse who might surprise.

On the 3rd May 2014, I selected just such a horse, Run with Pride, and he won at Betfair SP odds of 142, and paid 12 to place. 3) which brings me to my 3rd point. Use Betfair Sp for your win and place only bets . Why? Well Run with Pride won at odds of 142 using Betfair SP, and returned at only 33/1 with the bookmakers.

This is the background behind the selections you will find here. Make sure you check the place onlyterms at www.betfair.com. Some races may only pay out on 2 places. We want to see 3 places as it increases our probabilities of getting a return.

I left you with a couple of winners and a couple of placers , one at 20/1 on the 14th November.

Yesterday

250 chepstow Betting forecast: 13/8 Johns Luck, 4/1 Always Bold, 6/1 Kapricorne, 8/1 Comical Red, 8/1 Hector´s House, 9/1 Cool Bob, 14/1 Brunette´sonly, 25/1 Landenstown Star, 33/1 Scutsisland.
usual Kapricorne 1st 5.55
speculative Brunette’s only 6th 20
440 kempton Betting forecast: 6/4 Chetan, 7/2 Rialto Magic, 9/2 Tommys Geal, 10/1 Lady Marita, 10/1 Sparbrook, 12/1 Cloak And Degas, 12/1 Recover, 25/1 Kylies Wild Card.
usual Tommys gael 5th 9.4
speculative Coloak and Degas 2nd 10.5 win and 2.46 place
340 mr Betting forecast: 11/8 Desilvano, 100/30 Multimedia, 5/1 Kerrow, 9/1 After Toniight, 9/1 Double Shuffle, 9/1 Lawless Island, 16/1 Along Came Theo, 25/1 Lukie, 33/1 Frosty Steel.
usual Kerrow 2nd 13 win and 3.05 place
speculative Lawless island 3rd 10.5 win and 2.57 place
1255 thurles Betting forecast: 8/11 Hidden Cyclone, 9/2 Home Farm, 13/2 Foildubh, 12/1 Folsom Blue, 12/1 Some Tikket, 14/1 Sadler´sflaure, 16/1 Letter Of Credit, 25/1 Maggio.
usual Home farm 1st 2.65 win and 1.39 place
speculative Some tikket 5th 24.38

Today

240 ascot Betting forecast: 9/4 Niceonefrankie, 7/2 Lysino, 5/1 Al Alfa, 7/1 Drumshambo, 8/1 Fairy Rath, 8/1 King Edmund, 9/1 Rum And Butter, 25/1 Pilgrims Lane.
usual Al Alfa
speculative Rum and Butter

110 ffos las Betting forecast: 6/4 Binge Drinker, 7/2 Belmount, 4/1 An Poc Ar Buile, 6/1 Letbeso, 8/1 Carn Rock, 25/1 Dr Robin, 50/1 Russian Empire, 66/1 Singh Is King, 100/1 Mammie´s Treasure.
usual Belmont
speculative Carn Rock