Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Tuesday 21st April 2015

Each way betting – a background How do I go about my each-way selection process? In this post you will see a list of races which all have one thing in common. They are all 8/9 runner races as this is the shortest field which pays out for horses finishing 1st, 2nd and 3rd . By selecting an 8/9 runner race, you immediately put the probabilities of selecting a horse to finish in the top 3, in your favour. Remember that your objective is to find a horse to finish in the top 3, with a winner being an obvious bonus. 1) we select only from 8/9 runner races 2) we make 2 selections. The first is called the Usual selection .

A usual selection is a horse who is near the head of the betting forecast and who looks like an obvious selection to finish in the first 3 at least. We then make a speculative selection. This horse is likely to be a bigger price and is selected because horse racing is inherently unpredictable and races are won by other -than the market leaders We want to be able to cover a bigger priced horse who might surprise.

On the 3rd May 2014, I selected just such a horse, Run with Pride, and he won at Betfair SP odds of 142, and paid 12 to place. 3) which brings me to my 3rd point. Use Betfair Sp for your win and place only bets . Why? Well Run with Pride won at odds of 142 using Betfair SP, and returned at only 33/1 with the bookmakers.

This is the background behind the selections you will find here. Make sure you check the place onlyterms at www.betfair.com. Some races may only pay out on 2 places. We want to see 3 places as it increases our probabilities of getting a return.

I left you with a couple of winners and a couple of placers , one at 20/1 on the 14th November.

I will leave out results today as time is short.

Yesterday

 510 hexham Betting forecast: 2/1 Bengo, 9/2 K O Kenny, 5/1 Emperor Sakhee, 5/1 Limos, 7/1 Ryedale Racer, 10/1 Betancourt, 16/1 Lybowler, 20/1 Massini´s Lady, 100/1 Gray Wolf River.
usual Emperor Sakhee 1st 9.86 win and 2.7 place
speculative Betancourt 3rd 5.3 win and 1.88 place

500 kempton Betting forecast: 5/4 Merrion Square, 5/2 Tataniano, 11/2 Shrewd Investment, 14/1 Bay To Go, 14/1 Coeur Brule, 14/1 Theatre Evening, 25/1 Pinsandneedles, 25/1 Theophrastus.
usual Shrewd investment 4th 21
speculative Coeur Brule 6th 39.47

805 newton abbott Betting forecast: 2/1 Indiana Bay, 3/1 Fiulin, 5/1 Steeltown, 6/1 Mausefalle, 6/1 Ned White, 10/1 Dancing Olga, 33/1 Risky Cry, 100/1 Newnham Flyer.
usual Steeltown 3rd 5.9 win and 1.56 place
speculative Dancing Olga 1st 19.5 win and 3.37 place

725 windsor Betting forecast: 7/4 Sparring, 11/2 Diamond Joel, 6/1 Prince Of Cardamom, 13/2 Justice Belle, 15/2 Consortium, 17/2 Forza Blacky, 10/1 Virtual Reality, 16/1 Beach Walker, 16/1 Fitzwilliam.
usual Diamond Joel 7th 14.29
speculative Consortium 3rd 8.5 win and 2.56 place

An excellent day -2 big odds winners and 5 horses placing.

Today

515 brighton Betting forecast: 5/2 Young Jackie, 4/1 Attain, 5/1 Malih, 11/2 Roy Rocket, 7/1 Mercury Magic, 8/1 Edward Elgar, 12/1 Standing Strong, 20/1 Tamujin.
usual Roy Rocket
speculative Standing Strong
250 kempton Betting forecast: 13/8 Bold, 7/2 New Style, 7/2 Prefect, 13/2 Pomme De Guerre, 13/2 Skye Morning, 20/1 Ambitious Rosie, 25/1 Titus Secret, 40/1 Lord Yatesbury, 66/1 Go Amber Go.
usual Pomme de Guerre
speculative Ambitious Rosie