Racing Testing Lab

Each way betting – a background How do I go about my each-way selection process? In this post you will see a list of races which all have one thing in common. They are all 8/9 runner races as this is the shortest field which pays out for horses finishing 1st, 2nd and 3rd . By selecting an 8/9 runner race, you immediately put the probabilities of selecting a horse to finish in the top 3, in your favour. Remember that your objective is to find a horse to finish in the top 3, with a winner being an obvious bonus. 1) we select only from 8/9 runner races 2) we make 2 selections. The first is called the Usual selection .

A usual selection is a horse who is near the head of the betting forecast and who looks like an obvious selection to finish in the first 3 at least. We then make a speculative selection. This horse is likely to be a bigger price and is selected because horse racing is inherently unpredictable and races are won by other -than the market leaders We want to be able to cover a bigger priced horse who might surprise.

On the 3rd May 2014, I selected just such a horse, Run with Pride, and he won at Betfair SP odds of 142, and paid 12 to place. 3) which brings me to my 3rd point. Use Betfair Sp for your win and place only bets . Why? Well Run with Pride won at odds of 142 using Betfair SP, and returned at only 33/1 with the bookmakers.

This is the background behind the selections you will find here. Make sure you check the place onlyterms at www.betfair.com. Some races may only pay out on 2 places. We want to see 3 places as it increases our probabilities of getting a return.

Yesterday

520 ayr Betting forecast: 2/1 Inspector Norse, 6/1 Baltic Fire, 6/1 Trinity Star, 7/1 Mccarthy Mor, 8/1 Breakable, 8/1 Musical Molly, 8/1 Neuf Des Coeurs, 10/1 Solid Justice, 50/1 Bannock Town.
usual Trinity star 1st 6.64 win and 2.1 place
speculative Neuf des Coeurs 6th 14.5

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325 na Betting forecast: 5/4 A Tail Of Intrigue, 7/4 Royal Ripple, 7/1 Celesta, 8/1 An Poc Ar Buile, 16/1 Tims Crusader, 33/1 Ice Konig, 33/1 Lady Annabel, 100/1 Rebel Island.
usual Celesta pulled up 10.02
speculative Tims crusader pulled up 45.22

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225 newbury Betting forecast: 9/4 High Church, 9/2 Saab Almanal, 5/1 Yaakooum, 8/1 Rhombus, 8/1 Saarrem, 10/1 Opera Box, 10/1 Victor´s Bet, 14/1 Stock Hill Fair, 16/1 Stand To Reason.
usual Yaakooum 3rd 3.39 win and 1.31 place
speculative Victor’s Bet n/r

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Horses getting pulled up can sometimes work for the speculative bets, but alas both of our selections were 2 of 4 horses pulled up in the 325 Newton Abbot. A pity!

Today

315 ayr Betting forecast: 7/4 Sky Hunter, 11/4 Sennockian Star, 9/2 Gabrial, 11/2 Abseil, 14/1 Mirsaale, 14/1 Mutatis Mutandis, 16/1 Treasure The Ridge.
usual Gabrial
speculative Mirsaale

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200 listowel Betting forecast: 4/5 Plan A, 2/1 Blacklough, 5/1 Old Laxey, 20/1 Casa Jove, 20/1 Empresario, 25/1 Harangue, 25/1 Sin Miedo, 33/1 It´s All An Act, 33/1 Trans City.
usual Old laxey
speculative empresario

This type of race is riskier. Why? The front 2 in the market are most likely to hog 2 of the 3 available places , lowering our probability that we will profit. BUT these are the races where the big priced selections have won and placed, when one, or both, of the strong market leaders simply under-performs.

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230 newmarket Betting forecast: 5/2 Lady Of Dubai, 3/1 Wiener Valkyrie, 4/1 Sylvette, 5/1 Sperry, 10/1 Scots Fern, 14/1 Teofilo´s Princess, 16/1 Flamme Fantastique, 20/1 Beach Walker, 20/1 Cascades.
usual Sylvette
speculative Scots Fern

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305 newmarket Betting forecast: 6/4 Supreme Occasion, 7/2 Phoibe, 9/2 Hundi, 8/1 Lacing, 10/1 Sleepy Dust, 10/1 Stocking, 16/1 Anastazia, 20/1 Star Of Spring.
usual Hundi
speculative Stocking

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340 newmarket Betting forecast: 13/8 Heartbreak Hero, 7/2 Bossy Guest, 4/1 Ballymore Castle, 9/2 Secret Brief, 16/1 Doubly Clever, 16/1 Prince Of Time, 16/1 Yorkie Talkie, 20/1 Excellent George, 25/1 Silence In Court.
usual Ballymore Castle
speculative Prince of Time

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750 wolves Betting forecast: 5/2 Belgrade, 7/2 Indelible Ink, 4/1 Classic Villager, 7/1 Ali Bin Nayef, 7/1 International Name, 8/1 Sea Of Heaven, 12/1 Funtime Barry, 50/1 Hier Encore.
usual Classic Villager
speculative Sea of Heaven

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920 wolves Betting forecast: 9/4 Plucky Dip, 5/1 Heinrich, 5/1 Kraka Gym, 6/1 Dansante, 7/1 Cockney Belle, 8/1 Seven Lucky Seven, 10/1 Caledonia Laird, 20/1 Moojaned, 20/1 Tableforten.
usual Kraka gym
speculative Seven Lucky Seven