Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Friday 20th March 2015

Each way betting – a background How do I go about my each-way selection process? In this post you will see a list of races which all have one thing in common. They are all 8/9 runner races as this is the shortest field which pays out for horses finishing 1st, 2nd and 3rd . By selecting an 8/9 runner race, you immediately put the probabilities of selecting a horse to finish in the top 3, in your favour. Remember that your objective is to find a horse to finish in the top 3, with a winner being an obvious bonus. 1) we select only from 8/9 runner races 2) we make 2 selections. The first is called the Usual selection .

A usual selection is a horse who is near the head of the betting forecast and who looks like an obvious selection to finish in the first 3 at least. We then make a speculative selection. This horse is likely to be a bigger price and is selected because horse racing is inherently unpredictable and races are won by other -than the market leaders We want to be able to cover a bigger priced horse who might surprise.

On the 3rd May 2014, I selected just such a horse, Run with Pride, and he won at Betfair SP odds of 142, and paid 12 to place. 3) which brings me to my 3rd point. Use Betfair Sp for your win and place only bets . Why? Well Run with Pride won at odds of 142 using Betfair SP, and returned at only 33/1 with the bookmakers.

This is the background behind the selections you will find here. Make sure you check the place onlyterms at www.betfair.com. Some races may only pay out on 2 places. We want to see 3 places as it increases our probabilities of getting a return.

I left you with a couple of winners and a couple of placers , one at 20/1 on the 14th November.

I will leave out results today as time is short.

Yesterday

230 chepstow Betting forecast: 15/8 Its A Long Road, 4/1 Eaton Rock, 5/1 Dashaway, 13/2 Ballyknock Lad, 8/1 The Cider Maker, 11/1 Sunshine Buddy, 12/1 Webbswood, 12/1 Zuccotti Park.

usual Dashaway  – 1st 3.72 win and 1.69 place
speculative Webbswood – 5th 12.5
640 chelmsford Betting forecast: 2/1 Melbourne Shuffle, 7/2 Simple Elegance, 5/1 Madam Midnight, 7/1 Cafe Caprice, 7/1 Falcon´s Song, 10/1 Snow Pearl, 12/1 Beach Walker, 12/1 Solstalla.
usual Madam Midnight  – non runner
speculative Snow pearl – 5th 34
545 ludlow Betting forecast: 6/4 Native Display, 3/1 Armchair Theatre, 9/2 For Good Measure, 5/1 Kerisper, 7/1 Desertmore Hill, 10/1 Catwalk Babe, 20/1 Definately Vinnie, 50/1 Highland Life, 50/1 Kalaskadesemilley.
usual For Good measure  – 6th 4
speculative Catwalk babe – 5th 23.16
210 wolves Betting forecast: 5/2 Nouvelle Ere, 5/1 Oly´roccs, 6/1 Layline, 7/1 Conserve, 8/1 Amazing Star, 8/1 Bowberry, 10/1 Renewing, 10/1 Surround Sound, 14/1 Daring Indian.
usual Layline  – 6th 5.93
speculative Renewing – 1/2 length 2nd at 42 win and 8.2 place

Today

300 sedgefield Betting forecast: 10/11 Storm Of Swords, 6/1 Be A Dreamer, 6/1 Cousin Guillaume, 8/1 Great Demeanor, 14/1 Amir Pasha, 14/1 Our Boy Ben, 14/1 Pindar, 20/1 Sharivarry, 33/1 Heart O Annandale.
usual Cousin Guillaume
speculative Amir Pasha
405 sedgefield Betting forecast: 4/5 Gone Forever, 11/8 Venue, 14/1 Warlu Way, 16/1 Moon Over Rio, 20/1 King Of The Dark, 40/1 Dizoard, 50/1 Lady Busanda, 50/1 Outtilallhours, 66/1 Palmello.
usual Warlu Way
speculative Moon over Rio

1/2 length away from a massive win yesterday. Still getting a 7/1 payout for just placing is none too shabby!