Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Wednesday 20th August 2014

Each way betting – a background

How do I go about my each-way selection process? In this post you will see a list of races which all have one thing in common. They are all 8/9 runner races as this is the shortest field which pays out for horses finishing 1st, 2nd and 3rd .

By selecting an 8/9 runner race, you immediately put the probabilities of selecting a horse to finish in the top 3, in your favour.

Remember that your objective is to find a horse to finish in the top 3, with a winner being an obvious bonus.

1) we select only from 8/9 runner races

2) we make 2 selections. The first is called the Usual selection . A usual selection is a horse who is near the head of the betting forecast and who looks like an obvious selection to finish in the first 3 at least. We then make a speculative selection. This horse is likely to be a bigger price and is selected because horse racing is inherently unpredictable and races are won by other -than the market leaders We want to be able to cover a bigger priced horse who might surprise.

On the 3rd May 2014, I selected just such a horse, Run with Pride, and he won at Betfair SP odds of 142, and paid 12 to place.

3) which brings me to my 3rd point. Use Betfair Sp for your win and place only bets . Why? Well Run with Pride won at odds of 142 using Betfair SP, and returned at only 33/1 with the bookmakers.

 

This is the background behind the selections you will find here.

Make sure you check the place only terms at www.betfair.com. Some races may only pay out on 2 places. We want to see 3 places as it increases our probabilities of getting a return.

Yesterday

245 brighton Betting forecast: 2/1 Captain Ryan, 4/1 Clear Focus, 5/1 Perfect Pastime, 6/1 Encapsulated, 7/1 Frosted Off, 10/1 Zafraaj, 12/1 Stonecrabstomorrow, 25/1 Spider Bay.
usual Perfect pastime  – 1st 4.2 win and 1.72 place
speculative Frosted Off – non runner

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315 brighton Betting forecast: 4/5 Al Bandar, 6/1 Cosmic Ray, 6/1 Haarib, 7/1 Diamond Runner, 10/1 Thanksgiving Day, 16/1 King´s Concerto, 25/1 Emperors Warrior, 33/1 Kylies Wild Card.
usual Diamond Runner  – 6th 18.5
speculative King’s Concerto – 5th 209.81

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445 brighton Betting forecast: 5/2 Rapunzal, 9/2 Baltic Fire, 5/1 Why Not Now, 11/2 Clapperboard, 8/1 Heartstrings, 9/1 Patronella, 12/1 Choice Of Destiny, 12/1 Popping Candy, 25/1 Monte Viso.
usual Clapperboard  – 6th 9.98
speculative Patronella – 2nd 14.93 win and 3.65 place

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740 worcester Betting forecast: 4/5 Merrion Square, 3/1 Byron Blue, 6/1 Celesta, 10/1 Supapowers, 16/1 Vendredi Trois, 33/1 Petrovic, 40/1 Moaning Butcher, 66/1 Amberjam.
usual Celesta  – non runner
speculative Vendredi Trosi – 3rd 28.98 win and 3.15 place

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230 yarmouth Betting forecast: 5/2 Mimi Luke, 5/1 Red Cossack, 11/2 Great Wave, 7/1 Stroll On, 7/1 Sybilicious, 7/1 What A Dandy, 14/1 Habeshia, 14/1 Port Lairge, 14/1 Yankee Red.
usual Stroll On  – 5th 11.41
speculative Habeshia – 7th 13

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Today

540 killarney Betting forecast: 11/4 Henson, 3/1 Lucent Dream, 100/30 Hannah´s Magic, 4/1 Duchess Andorra, 8/1 Thomas Wedgwood, 10/1 Salariaq, 33/1 The Glimmerman, 66/1 Well Done Dolly.
Hannahs magic
Salariaq

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330 lingfield Betting forecast: 2/1 Wintour Leap, 11/4 Citizen Kaine, 11/2 Fennann, 6/1 Passionate Affair, 10/1 Deja Bougg, 10/1 Oakbank, 20/1 Prince Of Islay, 33/1 Lara Lipton.
Fennenn
Oakbank

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355 muss Betting forecast: 5/2 Longshadow, 11/2 Caledonia, 6/1 Stopped Out, 13/2 Maoi Chinn Tire, 7/1 Merchant Of Dubai, 15/2 La Bacouetteuse, 9/1 Aleksandar, 9/1 Entihaa, 12/1 Arr´ Kid.
Maoi Chinn Tire
Aleksandar

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530 southwell Betting forecast: 11/8 Free Entry, 11/4 Rita´s Boy, 4/1 Field Game, 5/1 Blue Burmese, 20/1 Junior Ben, 33/1 Auntie Dif, 33/1 Poppy In The Wind, 66/1 Rosie Crowe, 100/1 Julia Stardust.
Blue Burmese
Junior Ben

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