Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Wednesday 20th August 2014

Background

2013 saw this place only betting idea of mine profit by about 45 points. That’s a decent return given the short odds which prevail in place only betting markets.

Follow these steps below

1) the races listed here are chosen from www.racingpost.com because they feature ” apparent ” 2 horse races. This is in inverted commas because we are using the betting forecast which is simply just a journalist’s idea of how the race will fare.

2) we back in the to place only market at www.betfair.com , to Betfair SP, the bookmaker’s favourite in these races. I tried a number of different strategies such as following the betting forecast favourite, or 2nd favourite, and found over time that the bookmaker favourite placed 80+% of the time.

3) we back in the to place only market at odds of between 1.1 and 1.5 only. Anything under 1.1 is simply not worth it. A cut off point of 1.5 ensures the strike rate does not diminish as we move to higher place only odds.

Yesterday

8 740 worcester Betting forecast: 4/5 Merrion Square, 3/1 Byron Blue, 6/1 Celesta, 2nd 1.16
6 200 yarmouth Betting forecast: Evs Whaleweigh Station, 9/4 Normanna, 6/1 Swilken, 2nd 1.15

Today

7 720 kempton Betting forecast: 13/8 Rock Kristal, 7/4 Endless Time, 9/2 Justify,
7 510 kilarney Betting forecast: 8/11 Postulation, 3/1 Archangel Raphael, 6/1 Robertstown
5 500 sthl Betting forecast: 4/6 Cagoule, 3/1 Quick Touch, 13/2 Meebo,
12 230 york Betting forecast: 2/1 Basateen, 5/2 Jamaica, 7/1 Growl,