Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Tuesday 1st September 2015

Each way betting – a background How do I go about my each-way selection process? In this post you will see a list of races which all have one thing in common. They are all 8/9 runner races as this is the shortest field which pays out for horses finishing 1st, 2nd and 3rd . By selecting an 8/9 runner race, you immediately put the probabilities of selecting a horse to finish in the top 3, in your favour. Remember that your objective is to find a horse to finish in the top 3, with a winner being an obvious bonus. 1) we select only from 8/9 runner races 2) we make 2 selections. The first is called the Usual selection .

A usual selection is a horse who is near the head of the betting forecast and who looks like an obvious selection to finish in the first 3 at least. We then make a speculative selection. This horse is likely to be a bigger price and is selected because horse racing is inherently unpredictable and races are won by other -than the market leaders We want to be able to cover a bigger priced horse who might surprise.

On the 3rd May 2014, I selected just such a horse, Run with Pride, and he won at Betfair SP odds of 142, and paid 12 to place. 3) which brings me to my 3rd point. Use Betfair Sp for your win and place only bets . Why? Well Run with Pride won at odds of 142 using Betfair SP, and returned at only 33/1 with the bookmakers.

This is the background behind the selections you will find here. Make sure you check the place onlyterms at www.betfair.com. Some races may only pay out on 2 places. We want to see 3 places as it increases our probabilities of getting a return.

Yesterday

 

245 chepstow Betting forecast: 2/1 Charmy, 5/2 Chicadoro, 9/2 Miss Pimpernel, 5/1 Chinoiseries, 5/1 Touch Of Color, 25/1 Desert Tango, 100/1 Flash N Smart, 100/1 Lady President.
usual Miss Pimpernel  – 4th 4.66
speculative Touch of Color- 3rd 7.99 win and 1.81 place
520 epsom Betting forecast: 9/4 Pyrocumulus, 4/1 Paladin, 9/2 Cosmic Ray, 7/1 Ravenous, 15/2 Shifting Star, 8/1 Bakht A Rawan, 9/1 Freddy With A Y, 20/1 Presumido.
usual Cosmic Ray – 5th 2.96
speculative Bakht A Rawan – 3rd 9.12 win and 2.56 place
200 ripon Betting forecast: 15/8 Cuppatee, 5/2 Kumanavsumfun, 7/2 Bahamian Sunshine, 5/1 Never Say, 20/1 Tutill, 25/1 Barnsdale, 33/1 Ballad Of Mulan, 33/1 Fumbo Jumbo.
usual Bahamian Sunshine  – 3rd 5.01 win and 1.79 place
speculative Never Say -6th 15.14
725 roscommon Betting forecast: 5/2 Rock On Rosie, 9/2 Chief Of Panama, 11/2 Brave Love, 7/1 Baby Whizz, 7/1 Deadly Catch, 8/1 Lunch Master, 10/1 On My Own, 12/1 Tabac Brun, 16/1 All Summer Long.
usual Baby Whizz  – 5th 14.85
speculative Lunch Master – 3rd 7.91 win and 2.26 place

Today

440 epsom Betting forecast: 7/4 Cahala Dancer, 4/1 Choral Festival, 11/2 Artistic Flight, 6/1 Next Stop, 7/1 Minstrel Lad, 8/1 Sixties Love, 20/1 Peace Lilly, 25/1 Ron Waverly.
usual Artistic Flight
speculative Sixties Love
535 hamilton Betting forecast: 11/8 French Press, 5/1 White Flag, 6/1 Keene´s Pointe, 7/1 Two Turtle Doves, 10/1 Cadeaux Pearl, 10/1 Raise A Billion, 12/1 Yair Hill, 20/1 Pitt Rivers, 50/1 Bix.
usual White Flag
speculative Raise a Billion