Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Monday 1st September 2014

Background

2013 saw this place only betting idea of mine profit by about 45 points. That’s a decent return given the short odds which prevail in place only betting markets.

Follow these steps below

1) the races listed here are chosen from www.racingpost.com because they feature ” apparent ” 2 horse races. This is in inverted commas because we are using the betting forecast which is simply just a journalist’s idea of how the race will fare.

2) we back in the to place only market at www.betfair.com , to Betfair SP, the bookmaker’s favourite in these races. I tried a number of different strategies such as following the betting forecast favourite, or 2nd favourite, and found over time that the bookmaker favourite placed 80+% of the time.

3) we back in the to place only market at odds of between 1.1 and 1.5 only. Anything under 1.1 is simply not worth it. A cut off point of 1.5 ensures the strike rate does not diminish as we move to higher place only odds.

Yesterday

4 230 brighton Betting forecast: 4/6 Tongue Twista, 5/2 Pretty Picture, 5/1 Rock Follies, 1st 1.12
4 250 cork Betting forecast: 4/6 Flaxen Flare, 2/1 Plinth, 10/1 The Plan Man, faller 1.3
7 305 curragh Betting forecast: 6/4 Cappella Sansevero, 2/1 War Envoy, 5/1 Rapid Applause, 1st 1.61
3 210 worcester Betting forecast: Evs Authinger, 6/4 Fairyinthewind, 9/2 Vinnie The Fish. faller 1.14

 

2 fallers yesterday very unfortunate

 

Today

9 420 huntingdon Betting forecast: 2/1 Slowfoot, 9/4 That´s A Fact, 5/1 Dr Dalwhinny,