2 Horse Race Placers

Selections for Thursday 1st October 2015

Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Thursday 1st October 2015

A quick reminder, we place back the bookmaker’s favourite and not the Betfair favourite. This is an important distinction as quite often these are 2 different horses. Background 2013 saw this place only betting idea of mine profit by about 45 points. That’s a decent return given the short odds which prevail in place only betting markets. Follow these steps below 1) the races listed here are chosen from www.racingpost.com because they feature ” apparent ” 2 horse races. This is in inverted commas because we are using the betting forecast which is simply just a journalist’s idea of how the race will fare. 2) we back in the to place only market at www.betfair.com , to Betfair SP, the bookmaker’s favourite in these races. I tried a number of different strategies such as following the betting forecast favourite, or 2nd favourite, and found over time that the bookmaker favourite placed 80+% of the time. 3) we back in the to place only market at odds of between 1.1 and 1.5 only. Anything under 1.1 is simply not worth it. A cut off point of 1.5 ensures the strike rate does not diminish as we move to higher place only odds.

A quick reminder, we place back the bookmaker’s favourite and not the Betfair favourite. This is an important distinction as quite often these are 2 different horses. Background 2013 saw this place only betting idea of mine profit by about 45 points. That’s a decent return given the short odds which prevail in place only betting markets. Follow these steps below 1) the races listed here are chosen from www.racingpost.com because they feature ” apparent ” 2 horse races. This is in inverted commas because we are using the betting forecast which is simply just a journalist’s idea of how the race will fare. 2) we back in the to place only market at www.betfair.com , to Betfair SP, the bookmaker’s favourite in these races. I tried a number of different strategies such as following the betting forecast favourite, or 2nd favourite, and found over time that the bookmaker favourite placed 80+% of the time. 3) we back in the to place only market at odds of between 1.1 and 1.5 only. Anything under 1.1 is simply not worth it. A cut off point of 1.5 ensures the strike rate does not diminish as we move to higher place only odds.

Yesterday

14 200 chepstow Betting forecast: 9/4 Potters Corner, 9/4 Western Xpress, 7/1 Arthur´s Gift, 1st 1.75 1.16
5 720 kempton Betting forecast: Evs Pure Diamond, 5/2 Vicennalia, 6/1 Zodiakos, 1st 1.68 1.21
9 240 nottingham Betting forecast: 6/4 Triathlon, 9/4 Cacica, 13/2 Lily Tricks, 3rd 1.14

Today

7 300 beverley Betting forecast: 6/4 Afjaan, 6/4 Pensax Boy, 4/1 Nine Tenths,
9 615 chelms Betting forecast: 2/1 Swanton Blue, 5/2 Staintondale Lass, 5/1 Arizona Sunrise,