A quick reminder, we place back the bookmaker’s favourite and not the Betfair favourite. This is an important distinction as quite often these are 2 different horses.

Background

2013 saw this place only betting idea of mine profit by about 45 points. That’s a decent return given the short odds which prevail in place only betting markets.

Follow these steps below

1) the races listed here are chosen from www.racingpost.com because they feature ” apparent ” 2 horse races. This is in inverted commas because we are using the betting forecast which is simply just a journalist’s idea of how the race will fare.

2) we back in the to place only market at www.betfair.com , to Betfair SP, the bookmaker’s favourite in these races. I tried a number of different strategies such as following the betting forecast favourite, or 2nd favourite, and found over time that the bookmaker favourite placed 80+% of the time.

3) we back in the to place only market at odds of between 1.1 and 1.5 only. Anything under 1.1 is simply not worth it. A cut off point of 1.5 ensures the strike rate does not diminish as we move to higher place only odds.

Yesterday

6 330 brighton Betting forecast: 4/6 Markstein, 5/2 Perfect Glance, 11/2 Sociopath, 3rd 1.32
7 610 chepstow Betting forecast: 11/8 Tasleet, 13/8 Easter Mate, 10/1 Danecase, 1st 1.57 1.16
7 710 chepstow Betting forecast: 2/5 Arc Cara, 15/8 Bleu Astral, 25/1 Anna Dolce, 1st 1.44 1.1
5 750 gowran Betting forecast: 13/8 Beau Satchel, 9/4 Strait Of Zanzibar, 5/1 Rummaging, 5th 1.56
13 850 gowran Betting forecast: 2/1 Jolyne, 2/1 Sidra, 12/1 Burn The Bond, 3rd 1.33
10 215 hamilton Betting forecast: 2/1 St Georges Cross, 9/4 Fast And Furious, 6/1 Avenue Of Stars, 1st and 3rd 1.29
3 700 stratford Betting forecast: 1/2 Call Me Vic, 15/8 Chase The Wind, 20/1 Killshannon. 1st 1.47 1.11

Today

4 555 fairyhouse Betting forecast: 11/10 Sevenleft, 7/4 Rich Jade, 4/1 Erysimum,
9 655 fairyhouse Betting forecast: 7/4 Captain Power, 9/4 Tadaany, 7/1 Love Rosie,
3 855 fairyhouse Betting forecast: 5/4 Gallope, 11/8 Cradle Mountain, 4/1 Walkabout.
6 320 worcester Betting forecast: 6/4 Joe Farrell, 2/1 Brave Richard, 4/1 Thehossbehind,