Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Wednesday 1st April 2015

Each way betting – a background How do I go about my each-way selection process? In this post you will see a list of races which all have one thing in common. They are all 8/9 runner races as this is the shortest field which pays out for horses finishing 1st, 2nd and 3rd . By selecting an 8/9 runner race, you immediately put the probabilities of selecting a horse to finish in the top 3, in your favour. Remember that your objective is to find a horse to finish in the top 3, with a winner being an obvious bonus. 1) we select only from 8/9 runner races 2) we make 2 selections. The first is called the Usual selection .

A usual selection is a horse who is near the head of the betting forecast and who looks like an obvious selection to finish in the first 3 at least. We then make a speculative selection. This horse is likely to be a bigger price and is selected because horse racing is inherently unpredictable and races are won by other -than the market leaders We want to be able to cover a bigger priced horse who might surprise.

On the 3rd May 2014, I selected just such a horse, Run with Pride, and he won at Betfair SP odds of 142, and paid 12 to place. 3) which brings me to my 3rd point. Use Betfair Sp for your win and place only bets . Why? Well Run with Pride won at odds of 142 using Betfair SP, and returned at only 33/1 with the bookmakers.

This is the background behind the selections you will find here. Make sure you check the place onlyterms at www.betfair.com. Some races may only pay out on 2 places. We want to see 3 places as it increases our probabilities of getting a return.

I left you with a couple of winners and a couple of placers , one at 20/1 on the 14th November.

I will leave out results today as time is short.

Yesterday

 

200 exeter Betting forecast: 7/4 Murtys Delight, 11/4 Archie Rice, 7/2 Artisan, 13/2 Sunshine Buddy, 8/1 Rocky Rebel, 16/1 Unify, 33/1 Sparkling Hero, 40/1 Lady Cliche, 50/1 Thelordbewithyou.
usual Artisan faller 7
speculative Rocky Rebel 1st 5.86 win and 1.99 place

445 exeter Betting forecast: 7/4 Celestino, 7/2 Billy My Boy, 5/1 Remind Me Later, 6/1 Winged Express, 8/1 War And Contrition, 12/1 St Dominick, 16/1 Georgieshore, 33/1 Misteray.
usual Remind me later 1st 13 win and 3.15 place
speculative St Dominick 3rd 10.5 win and 2.44 place

210 hunt Betting forecast: 6/4 Southfield Royale, 7/2 Blue Bear, 7/2 Go West Young Man, 4/1 Gabriella Rose, 20/1 Iora Glas, 20/1 Letter Exit, 25/1 The Big Dipper, 33/1 Carlo Rocks, 50/1 I´m A Joker.
usual Gabriella Rose 2nd 7.42 win and 1.45 place
speculative Iora Glas 5th 128.78

455 hunt Betting forecast: 5/2 Perfect Summer, 7/2 Two Swallows, 4/1 Maypole Lass, 9/2 Susie Sheep, 5/1 Altesse De Guye, 20/1 Vicky´s Charm, 25/1 Burgundy Betty, 33/1 Element Quartet.
usual Susie Sheep 2nd 13 win and 2.88 place
speculative Vicky’s charm 8th 67.2

400 sthl Betting forecast: 5/2 Caged Lightning, 4/1 Conserve, 4/1 Samtu, 5/1 The Quarterjack, 7/1 Apollo Eleven, 12/1 Steuben, 20/1 Cascadia, 20/1 Cathedral, 25/1 Yasir.
usual Samtu 4th 2.66
speculative Steuben 7th 141.3

430 sthl Betting forecast: 100/30 Shearian, 4/1 Playtothewhistle, 5/1 Putin, 5/1 Sleet, 6/1 Risk ´n´ Reward, 7/1 Stun Gun, 14/1 Amenable, 16/1 Quasqazah.
usual Putin 4th 10.91
speculative Amenable 2nd 39.57 win and 6.97 place

A very pleasing day. 2 good winners, and 4 horses placed, one of them paying out 6.97 just for placing!

Today

705 dundalk Betting forecast: 6/4 War Envoy, 5/2 Rapid Applause, 5/1 Convergence, 7/1 Intense Style, 10/1 Wychwood Warrior, 20/1 Sparklingsovereign, 25/1 Song Of Love, 33/1 Orcia.
usual Convergence
speculative Wychwood warrior

220 wincanton Betting forecast: 6/4 Jimmy The Jetplane, 4/1 Buck Magic, 6/1 Dancing Shadow, 8/1 Swallowshide, 9/1 Man Of Leisure, 14/1 Kellys Brow, 14/1 Oscar Prairie, 14/1 Somerset Lias, 16/1 Key To The West.
usual Dancing shadow
speculative Kellys Brow