A quick reminder, we place back the bookmaker’s favourite and not the Betfair favourite. This is an important distinction as quite often these are 2 different horses.

Background

2013 saw this place only betting idea of mine profit by about 45 points. That’s a decent return given the short odds which prevail in place only betting markets.

Follow these steps below

1) the races listed here are chosen from www.racingpost.com because they feature ” apparent ” 2 horse races. This is in inverted commas because we are using the betting forecast which is simply just a journalist’s idea of how the race will fare.

2) we back in the to place only market at www.betfair.com , to Betfair SP, the bookmaker’s favourite in these races. I tried a number of different strategies such as following the betting forecast favourite, or 2nd favourite, and found over time that the bookmaker favourite placed 80+% of the time.

3) we back in the to place only market at odds of between 1.1 and 1.5 only. Anything under 1.1 is simply not worth it. A cut off point of 1.5 ensures the strike rate does not diminish as we move to higher place only odds.

 Yesterday

4 315 hunt Betting forecast: Evs Ultimatum Du Roy, 2/1 Mrs Peachey, 7/2 Ballyvoneen, 2nd 1.32
5 420 hunt Betting forecast: Evs Mondo Cane, 3/1 Larteta, 5/1 Bob Will, 1st 1.21

 Today

7 200 chelms Betting forecast: 2/1 Giantouch, 9/4 Nawaasy, 5/1 Dakota City
6 300 chelms Betting forecast: 6/4 Vejovis, 7/4 Middle East Pearl, 6/1 Mary Ann Bugg,
7 400 chelmsford Betting forecast: 2/1 Wakea, 5/2 Tacticus, 6/1 Rite To Reign,
4 430 chelms Betting forecast: 13/8 Queen Aggie, 7/4 Sonnetation, 9/2 Meddling,
8 705 dundalk Betting forecast: 6/4 War Envoy, 5/2 Rapid Applause, 5/1 Convergence,
10 735 dundalk Betting forecast: 5/4 So Focussed, 3/1 Torpedo Alley, 6/1 Nabeel,
11 615 kempton Betting forecast: 11/8 Hundi, 5/2 Jazzi Top, 6/1 Jasmine Blue,
6 240 towcester Betting forecast: 2/1 Molko Jack, 5/2 Kap West, 11/2 Beauchamp Viking,
13 310 towcester Betting forecast: 7/4 Always Managing, 5/2 Aces Over Eights, 5/1 Diamond Gesture,
4 410 towcester Betting forecast: 5/4 Ravens Brook, 6/4 Milgen Bay, 11/2 Epee Celeste,
7 440 towcester Betting forecast: 11/10 Mr Mercurial, 13/8 Legal Legend, 7/1 Coeur Brule,
6 420 wincanton Betting forecast: 1/2 Merrion Square, 100/30 Coombe Hill, 6/1 Foynes Island,