Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Monday 18th May 2015

Each way betting – a background How do I go about my each-way selection process? In this post you will see a list of races which all have one thing in common. They are all 8/9 runner races as this is the shortest field which pays out for horses finishing 1st, 2nd and 3rd . By selecting an 8/9 runner race, you immediately put the probabilities of selecting a horse to finish in the top 3, in your favour. Remember that your objective is to find a horse to finish in the top 3, with a winner being an obvious bonus. 1) we select only from 8/9 runner races 2) we make 2 selections. The first is called the Usual selection .

A usual selection is a horse who is near the head of the betting forecast and who looks like an obvious selection to finish in the first 3 at least. We then make a speculative selection. This horse is likely to be a bigger price and is selected because horse racing is inherently unpredictable and races are won by other -than the market leaders We want to be able to cover a bigger priced horse who might surprise.

On the 3rd May 2014, I selected just such a horse, Run with Pride, and he won at Betfair SP odds of 142, and paid 12 to place. 3) which brings me to my 3rd point. Use Betfair Sp for your win and place only bets . Why? Well Run with Pride won at odds of 142 using Betfair SP, and returned at only 33/1 with the bookmakers.

This is the background behind the selections you will find here. Make sure you check the place onlyterms at www.betfair.com. Some races may only pay out on 2 places. We want to see 3 places as it increases our probabilities of getting a return.

I left you with a couple of winners and a couple of placers , one at 20/1 on the 14th November.

I will leave out results today as time is short.

Yesterday

 

355 navan Betting forecast: 6/5 Forgotten Rules, 9/2 Answered, 7/1 Biographer, 8/1 Kingfisher, 8/1 Panama Hat, 9/1 Toe The Line, 20/1 Sir Ector, 33/1 Dark Crusader.
usual Biographer 7th 15.32
speculative Toe the Line 8th 18.76

425 navan Betting forecast: 7/4 Time To Inspire, 4/1 Ivanovich Gorbatov, 6/1 Jaleo, 6/1 My Twinkle, 6/1 Torcedor, 16/1 Master Of Mayhem, 16/1 Quarterdeck, 25/1 I´ll Find My Way, 25/1 Light That.
usual Jaleo 4th 18.18
speculative Master of Mayhem 7th 33.69

210 ripon Betting forecast: 6/5 Sahreej, 7/2 Twisting Hay, 7/1 Addicted To Luck, 10/1 Arthur´s Choice, 10/1 East Street Revue, 10/1 Underdressed, 16/1 Dodgy Bob, 25/1 Northern Beau, 25/1 Sweets´n´sheets.
usual Addicted to luck 4th 14.53
speculative East Street Revue 6th 24.6

Today

715 leicester Betting forecast: 15/8 Cry Fury, 11/4 Pearl Ransom, 4/1 World Record, 5/1 Sublimation, 12/1 Beau Sparkle, 20/1 Mertesacker, 25/1 Lexington Blue, 33/1 Cerise Firth, 33/1 Drastic Art.
usual World Record
speculative Beau Sparkle
320 redcar Betting forecast: 6/4 Highest Quality, 3/1 As Good As Gold, 4/1 Quite Smart, 7/1 Lady Estella, 10/1 Clara Schumann, 12/1 Sea Of Green, 100/1 Arousal, 100/1 Outlaw Kate.
usual Quite Smart
speculative Clara Schumann
240 towcester Betting forecast: 11/8 Fairlee Grey, 7/2 Gallic Destiny, 5/1 Little Mix, 6/1 Twelve Strings, 7/1 Masterplan, 16/1 Alongthewatchtower, 50/1 Coxwell Crofter, 50/1 Fort Gabriel.
usual Little Mix
speculative Masterplan
340 towcester Betting forecast: 2/1 Knight Bachelor, 5/1 Iora Glas, 6/1 Astaroland, 7/1 Maller Tree, 8/1 Heroes Or Ghosts, 9/1 Miss Sassypants, 10/1 Bathwick Man, 14/1 Bayley´s Dream, 20/1 Run On Sterling.
usual Astaroland
speculative Miss Sassypants